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0x39d3…9ef0
0x39d3c773be30fcc73161fc6768f46d563a779ef0
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 2.63 and disposition ratio 0.28, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 111.3), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:39:57 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$1.4M
Open PnL
$-121k
Max drawdown
$695k
Underwater days
48
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $71k | N/A | ∞ |
| Realized PnL | $36 | $118k | $407k | ∞ |
| Win rate | 50% | 60% | 41% | 42% |
| ROI | 0% | 63% | 13% | 9% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.285 | 0.044 | 0.085 |
| Markets | 1 | 15 | 275 | 2020 |
| Best day | $1 | $89.4k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 1.05 | 5.51 | 1.29 | 1.19 |
| Mean trade PnL | $18 | $11.8k | $1.45k | $737 |
| Median trade PnL | $18 | $2.05k | $-889 | $-500 |
| Payoff ratio | 1.05 | 3.67 | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Largest win | $757 | $91.2k | $139k | $195k |
| Largest loss | $-721 | $-12.7k | $-73.8k | $-149k |
| Expectancy | $18 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $35.6k | $192k | $95.5k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.089 | 0.791 | 0.039 | 0.089 |
| Calmar | 2.010 | 2.010 | 2.010 | 2.010 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 51% | 53% | 4% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 99% | 17% | 4% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 29% | 8% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 3 | 17 | 23 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 2 | 34 | 55 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 1 | 805 | 9844 | 40549 |
| Unique markets | 1 | 15 | 275 | 2020 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.378 | 0.400 | 0.441 |
| Portfolio HHI | 1.000 | 0.217 | 0.013 | 0.002 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 83% | 52% | 50% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 5.7 | 1.9 | 5.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 10 | 215 | 1536 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 1.11 | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 33% | 49% | 32% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 0% | 20% | 27% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 0% | 56% | 77% | 75% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0768 | 0.2178 | 0.2414 | 0.2370 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1513 | 0.1824 | 0.2184 | 0.2255 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.811 | 0.961 | 0.924 |
| Exit quality ($) | $4.15k | $830 | $59 | $-35 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 46.0% | 9.2% | -0.0% | -14.4% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0845 | -0.0845 | -0.0845 | -0.0845 |
| Alpha ($) | $12 | $12 | $12 | $12 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| Contrarian score | -0.045 | -0.045 | -0.045 | -0.045 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0180 | -0.0180 | -0.0180 | -0.0180 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 62.5%
- Scalper: 61.2%
- News Sniper: 59.0%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 30.0%
- Contrarian Fader: 26.1%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 1.61e-27; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0xdbbbbd6ea7… entry 0.247 timing 1.00
- 0xe6f040d202… entry 0.190 timing 0.99
- 0xe7cfffc703… entry 0.260 timing 0.97
- 0xc495d1ca2b… entry 0.180 timing 0.98
- 0xfb2e524094… entry 0.280 timing 0.99
- 0x614c0fdc1f… entry 0.240 timing 1.00
- 0x8d65471084… entry 0.260 timing 1.00
- 0x30f04cab5b… entry 0.290 timing 0.96
- 0xff1ec56e0e… entry 0.170
- 0x8c488f609e… entry 0.219 timing 0.91
- 0xb06b44b85d… entry 0.220 timing 0.10
- 0x08529defe3… entry 0.283
- 0x15f03c343c… entry 0.260
- 0x8c537582e7… entry 0.280 timing 0.99
- 0x2de9d90a9b… entry 0.260 timing 0.16
- 0x99efbae497… entry 0.220 timing 0.95
- 0x26f8bdecc5… entry 0.219 timing 0.82
- 0xa5a74cc904… entry 0.150 timing 0.85
- 0x77de8c060b… entry 0.290 timing 1.00