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0x3993…cded
0x39932ca2b7a1b8ab6cbf0b8f7419261b950ccded
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Contrarian Fader because fills lean against recent price moves and it averages down.
Contrarian score is -0.51 (negative = buying against recent moves) with average-down share 34%.
Holds stretch longer (median 1.9 hours) while waiting for reversion.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:40:31 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$452k
Open PnL
$-1.3M
Max drawdown
$375k
Underwater days
114
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $76.8k | $452k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $11.1k | $96.3k | $1.99M |
| Win rate | N/A | 100% | 67% | 72% |
| ROI | N/A | 54% | 13% | 15% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.252 | 0.126 | 0.054 |
| Markets | 1 | 3 | 152 | 1846 |
| Best day | $0 | $11.1k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 1.54 | 1.53 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $11.1k | $688 | $819 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $11.1k | $2 | $33 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.77 | 0.59 |
| Largest win | N/A | $11.1k | $47.7k | $75.5k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-54.5k | $-125k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $4.5k | $17.3k | $25.7k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.714 | 0.118 | 0.046 |
| Calmar | 1.205 | 1.205 | 1.205 | 1.205 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 78.0 | 78.0 | 78.0 | 78.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 100% | 17% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 60% | 5% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 85% | 9% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 1 | 8 | 36 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 2 | 220 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 2 | 13 | 3795 | 26292 |
| Unique markets | 1 | 3 | 152 | 1846 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 100% | 76% | 89% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.551 | 0.529 | 0.547 |
| Portfolio HHI | 1.000 | 0.766 | 0.127 | 0.004 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 4% | 88% | 67% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 0.8 | 5.1 | 3.8 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 0.0 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 2 | 108 | 1165 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.00 | 0.93 | 0.73 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 42% | 55% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 49% | 34% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 0% | 67% | 67% | 60% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.1225 | 0.1633 | 0.1948 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.1225 | 0.2015 | 0.2131 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.828 | 0.647 | 0.716 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $-0 | $31 | $43 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | -0.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1621 | -0.1621 | -0.1621 | -0.1621 |
| Alpha ($) | $723 | $723 | $723 | $723 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% |
| Contrarian score | -0.512 | -0.512 | -0.512 | -0.512 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.1375 | -0.1375 | -0.1375 | -0.1375 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Contrarian Fader: 55.2%
- Scalper: 51.0%
- Tilted Gambler: 48.0%
- News Sniper: 45.2%
- Conviction Holder: 24.9%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 5.25e-30; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0xfe3db3c667… entry 0.190 timing 0.14
- 0xeca221d998… entry 0.062 timing 0.20
- 0x3045a441e5… entry 0.200
- 0x9ad38d22c9… entry 0.220
- 0xf6566a1681… entry 0.260 timing 0.68
- 0x830be1071e… entry 0.250
- 0x369b9ce08e… entry 0.210
- 0x5cc63cdd9b… entry 0.230 timing 0.47
- 0x27637f5389… entry 0.270 timing 0.84
- 0x43e56f9293… entry 0.260 timing 0.77
- 0xe14a946b3f… entry 0.230 timing 0.10
- 0x7207ca8ee3… entry 0.210 timing 0.96
- 0x593fa9e2b2… entry 0.299 timing 0.99
- 0x1e8af37bd6… entry 0.280
- 0xc7830a5ddf… entry 0.290
- 0xbfee12acbe… entry 0.240
- 0x5165330fea… entry 0.250
- 0xeff9d378f9… entry 0.260
- 0xa7d004aa6e… entry 0.285
- 0x81543047de… entry 0.170