0x3885…ca77

0x388537259dc9e693c1c9b96fdf07a63f6b7aca77

ScalperGrade DStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 23089 with median hold 19.1 hours, maker share only 66%.

Capital velocity 0.2 and held-to-resolution 35% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 10:40:45 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$463k

Open PnL

$-47.3k

Max drawdown

$135k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	N/A	N/A	$462k
Realized PnL	$-165	$8.42k	$48.8k	$474k
Win rate	50%	75%	75%	55%
ROI	-16%	8%	9%	2%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.627	0.483	0.100
Markets	7	22	82	674
Best day	$141	$2.2k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	0.51	4.68	2.94	1.14
Mean trade PnL	$-83	$421	$493	$100
Median trade PnL	$-83	$266	$114	$1
Payoff ratio	0.51	1.56	0.99	0.93
Largest win	$172	$2.35k	$13.6k	$76k
Largest loss	$-337	$-1.36k	$-9.34k	$-68.9k
Expectancy	$-83

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$1.06k	$4.81k	$14k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	0.865	1.098	0.095
Calmar	3.437	3.437	3.437	3.437
Drawdown duration (days)	35.0	35.0	35.0	35.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	66%	29%	17%	2%
Concentration top-5	100%	79%	46%	5%
Concentration top-10	100%	96%	66%	8%
Max win streak	1	5	13	18
Max loss streak	1	2	4	34

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	14	495	2350	23089
Unique markets	7	22	82	674
Active days ratio	200%	114%	103%	101%
Avg entry price	0.513	0.821	0.563	0.544
Portfolio HHI	0.603	0.189	0.045	0.009
Maker share (notional)	91%	51%	55%	66%
Two-sided share	0%

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	6.2	14.7	38.7	33.2
Holding time median (h)	6.2	10.8	24.4	19.1
Max concurrent	4	17	60	263
Disposition ratio	1.01	0.39	0.99	0.87
Add-to-winner share	50%	87%	61%	53%
Average-down share	50%	9%	37%	46%
Tilt ratio	2.09

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	85%	72%	35%
Brier (weighted)	N/A	0.0080	0.0205	0.1353
Brier (unweighted)	N/A	0.0206	0.0301	0.1355
Entry timing mean	0.507	0.524	0.590	0.596
Exit quality ($)	N/A	$29	$-71	$-190
Exit quality ROI gap	N/A	252.1%	423.0%	59.4%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.0120	-0.0120	-0.0120	-0.0120
Alpha ($)	$1.65k	$1.65k	$1.65k	$1.65k
Alpha ROI gap	45.8%	45.8%	45.8%	45.8%
Contrarian score	-0.075	-0.075	-0.075	-0.075
Post-fill drift	-0.0183	-0.0183	-0.0183	-0.0183
Post-fill candles (mean)	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 47.0%
Contrarian Fader: 37.8%
Tilted Gambler: 30.0%
News Sniper: 25.4%
Favorite Grinder: 22.2%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x1e8de2e436… entry 0.228
0xc7ca462d3d… entry 0.040
0x36a1d37cb5… entry 0.170
0xeb70559dd1… entry 0.135
0xbd1e7d77ad… entry 0.005
0xe6351a04f0… entry 0.013
0x557db02762… entry 0.011
0x4e7d545b53… entry 0.020
0x1d8bbc816e… entry 0.041
0x2e62d2d8df… entry 0.229
0xf4c74306d5… entry 0.010
0x4ea1402470… entry 0.016
0x8694955550… entry 0.149
0xa81ce86a7e… entry 0.130
0xb16613b0e9… entry 0.019
0x5c4797254e… entry 0.040
0x3e1ad66104… entry 0.147
0xb583004841… entry 0.005
0x18b28ca3de… entry 0.124
0xaa26682e69… entry 0.087
0xe69bbfe060… entry 0.284

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0x3885…ca77

0x388537259dc9e693c1c9b96fdf07a63f6b7aca77

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 23089 with median hold 19.1 hours, maker share only 66%.

Capital velocity 0.2 and held-to-resolution 35% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$462k

Realized PnL

$-165

$8.42k

$48.8k

$474k

Win rate

50%

75%

55%

ROI

-16%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.627

0.483

0.100

Markets

674

Best day

$141

$2.2k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

0.51

4.68

2.94

1.14

Mean trade PnL

$-83

$421

$493

$100

Median trade PnL

$-83

$266

$114

Payoff ratio

0.51

1.56

0.99

0.93

Largest win

$172

$2.35k

$13.6k

$76k

Largest loss

$-337

$-1.36k

$-9.34k

$-68.9k

Expectancy

$-83

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$1.06k

$4.81k

$14k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

0.865

1.098

0.095

Calmar

3.437

Drawdown duration (days)

35.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

66%

29%

17%

Concentration top-5

100%

79%

46%

Concentration top-10

100%

96%

66%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

495

2350

23089

Unique markets

674

Active days ratio

200%

114%

103%

101%

Avg entry price

0.513

0.821

0.563

0.544

Portfolio HHI

0.603

0.189

0.045

0.009

Maker share (notional)

91%

51%

55%

66%

Two-sided share

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

6.2

14.7

38.7

33.2

Holding time median (h)

6.2

10.8

24.4

19.1

Max concurrent

263

Disposition ratio

1.01

0.39

0.99

0.87

Add-to-winner share

50%

87%

61%

53%

Average-down share

50%

37%

46%

Tilt ratio

2.09

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

85%

72%

35%

Brier (weighted)

N/A

0.0080

0.0205

0.1353

Brier (unweighted)

N/A

0.0206

0.0301

0.1355

Entry timing mean

0.507

0.524

0.590

0.596

Exit quality ($)

N/A

$29

$-71

$-190

Exit quality ROI gap

N/A

252.1%

423.0%

59.4%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.0120

Alpha ($)

$1.65k

Alpha ROI gap

45.8%

Contrarian score

-0.075

Post-fill drift

-0.0183

Post-fill candles (mean)

6.0

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 47.0%

Contrarian Fader: 37.8%

Tilted Gambler: 30.0%

News Sniper: 25.4%

Favorite Grinder: 22.2%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x1e8de2e436… entry 0.228
0xc7ca462d3d… entry 0.040
0x36a1d37cb5… entry 0.170
0xeb70559dd1… entry 0.135
0xbd1e7d77ad… entry 0.005
0xe6351a04f0… entry 0.013
0x557db02762… entry 0.011
0x4e7d545b53… entry 0.020
0x1d8bbc816e… entry 0.041
0x2e62d2d8df… entry 0.229
0xf4c74306d5… entry 0.010
0x4ea1402470… entry 0.016
0x8694955550… entry 0.149
0xa81ce86a7e… entry 0.130
0xb16613b0e9… entry 0.019
0x5c4797254e… entry 0.040
0x3e1ad66104… entry 0.147
0xb583004841… entry 0.005
0x18b28ca3de… entry 0.124
0xaa26682e69… entry 0.087
0xe69bbfe060… entry 0.284

Bitcoin	$368k	55%	2157
Crypto	$110k	54%	151
Solana	$31.8k	57%	404
Ethereum	$-21.9k	56%	965
XRP	$-14.6k	54%	901
Multi Strikes	$-7.83k	48%	135
Daily	$5.56k	91%	11
uncategorized	$-5.45k	38%	8
Recurring	$3.21k	50%	4
Today 🚀	$2.73k	75%	4
Hide From New	$2.44k	75%	4
Crypto Prices	$-368	43%	7

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xf2427118…	$-50.3k	$138k	-36.5%
0x55d5916a…	$-47.2k	$83.1k	-56.8%
0xc41ada61…	$34.9k	$170k	20.5%
0x77921b61…	$-34.9k	$34.9k	-100.0%
0x5e7b8ad3…	$-34.8k	$74.3k	-46.9%
0x979c87f3…	$-34.2k	$56.3k	-60.7%
0x7e513cca…	$-30.3k	$71.9k	-42.2%
0x7790a65c…	$-29.6k	$47.4k	-62.5%
0x4dcb631c…	$28.9k	$43.4k	66.5%
0xe9270caf…	$27k	$42.8k	63.2%
0x01f47521…	$26.1k	$18.2k	143.3%
0xf877a0c1…	$25.3k	$16.7k	151.4%
0x04594d03…	$24.7k	$43.6k	56.7%
0x7c493c16…	$-24.4k	$26.5k	-91.9%
0x2f50d47a…	$23.6k	$15.4k	153.3%

0x3885…ca77

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x3885…ca77

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

Hour of day (UTC)

Day of week (UTC)

Fills per week