0x343d…456e

0x343d4466dc323b850e5249394894c7381d91456e

Early-Bird ForecasterGrade Carchetypes-v1

Secondary: Scalper

This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.

Mean entry timing is early (0.18 of market life) and 71% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.

Turnover stays low (828.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.

A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 10:14:51 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$2.6M

Open PnL

Max drawdown

$753

Underwater days

379

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	N/A	N/A	∞
Realized PnL	$0	$0	$0	∞
Win rate	N/A	N/A	N/A	61%
ROI	N/A	N/A	N/A	65%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.076
Markets	0	0	0	33
Best day	$0	$0

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	N/A	N/A	5.03
Mean trade PnL	N/A	N/A	N/A	$76.6k
Median trade PnL	N/A	N/A	N/A	$31.7k
Payoff ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	3.27
Largest win	N/A	N/A	N/A	$485k
Largest loss	N/A	N/A	N/A	$-137k
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	N/A	N/A	$74.9k
Sortino (daily)	9.052	9.052	9.052	9.052
Calmar	2876.213	2876.213	2876.213	2876.213
Drawdown duration (days)	378.4	378.4	378.4	378.4

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	N/A	N/A	12%
Concentration top-5	N/A	N/A	N/A	42%
Concentration top-10	N/A	N/A	N/A	67%
Max win streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	7
Max loss streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	3

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	0	0	0	828
Unique markets	0	0	0	33
Active days ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	133%
Avg entry price	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.495
Portfolio HHI	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.056
Maker share (notional)	N/A	N/A	N/A	16%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	N/A	N/A	N/A	2.8
Holding time median (h)	N/A	N/A	N/A	2.4
Max concurrent	N/A	N/A	N/A	24
Disposition ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	2.68
Add-to-winner share	N/A	N/A	N/A	38%
Average-down share	N/A	N/A	N/A	25%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	N/A	N/A	71%
Brier (weighted)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2325
Brier (unweighted)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2202
Entry timing mean	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.183
Exit quality ($)	N/A	N/A	N/A	$1
Exit quality ROI gap	N/A	N/A	N/A	2.9%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.1415	-0.1415	-0.1415	-0.1415
Alpha ($)	$-4.11k	$-4.11k	$-4.11k	$-4.11k
Alpha ROI gap	-3.7%	-3.7%	-3.7%	-3.7%
Contrarian score	0.174	0.174	0.174	0.174
Post-fill drift	-0.0917	-0.0917	-0.0917	-0.0917
Post-fill candles (mean)	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Early-Bird Forecaster: 65.4%
Scalper: 62.3%
Tilted Gambler: 46.8%
Conviction Holder: 24.5%
News Sniper: 24.5%

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0x343d…456e

0x343d4466dc323b850e5249394894c7381d91456e

Early-Bird ForecasterGrade Carchetypes-v1

Secondary: Scalper

This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.

Mean entry timing is early (0.18 of market life) and 71% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.

Turnover stays low (828.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.

A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

∞

Realized PnL

∞

Win rate

N/A

61%

ROI

N/A

65%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.076

Markets

Best day

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

5.03

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$76.6k

Median trade PnL

N/A

$31.7k

Payoff ratio

N/A

3.27

Largest win

N/A

$485k

Largest loss

N/A

$-137k

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$74.9k

Sortino (daily)

9.052

Calmar

2876.213

Drawdown duration (days)

378.4

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

12%

Concentration top-5

N/A

42%

Concentration top-10

N/A

67%

Max win streak

N/A

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

828

Unique markets

Active days ratio

N/A

133%

Avg entry price

N/A

0.495

Portfolio HHI

N/A

0.056

Maker share (notional)

N/A

16%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

N/A

2.8

Holding time median (h)

N/A

2.4

Max concurrent

N/A

Disposition ratio

N/A

2.68

Add-to-winner share

N/A

38%

Average-down share

N/A

25%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

71%

Brier (weighted)

N/A

0.2325

Brier (unweighted)

N/A

0.2202

Entry timing mean

N/A

0.183

Exit quality ($)

N/A

Exit quality ROI gap

N/A

2.9%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.1415

Alpha ($)

$-4.11k

Alpha ROI gap

-3.7%

Contrarian score

0.174

Post-fill drift

-0.0917

Post-fill candles (mean)

5.5

Post-fill observations

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xb9eae88e…	$485k	$417k	116.5%
0x9eff1fc7…	$398k	$293k	135.6%
0xfddae56d…	$280k	$209k	134.2%
0xf6685548…	$250k	$153k	163.9%
0xc8e3295e…	$228k	$189k	120.7%
0x61d193a3…	$214k	$209k	102.4%
0xea1532d1…	$209k	$212k	98.7%
0x19528986…	$187k	$238k	78.4%
0x5d408486…	$182k	$181k	100.4%
0x1170e9e9…	$181k	$299k	60.6%
0x177b0ae7…	$168k	$231k	72.7%
0xf4f8011a…	$140k	$361k	39.0%
0x42dfd3ed…	$-137k	$137k	-100.0%
0xfa6860a6…	$-116k	$116k	-100.0%
0x770614d3…	$-114k	$114k	-100.0%

0x343d…456e

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Share

0x343d…456e

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Share

Hour of day (UTC)

Day of week (UTC)