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0x2d99e29c4f066ba32098c65e4c7454b277d94ca3
Favorite GrinderGrade Carchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
98% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (90%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.38).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:15:09 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$229k
Open PnL
$-19.8k
Max drawdown
$30.2k
Underwater days
111
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $3k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $38 | $8.88k | $247k |
| Win rate | N/A | 83% | 90% | 90% |
| ROI | N/A | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -1.143 | -0.225 | 0.162 |
| Markets | 1 | 6 | 48 | 864 |
| Best day | $0 | $74 |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 1.06 | 3.23 | 3.60 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $6 | $181 | $277 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $42 | $31 | $30 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.21 | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| Largest win | N/A | $500 | $7.83k | $29.2k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-624 | $-1.55k | $-15.1k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $2.05k | $1.74k | $2.23k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.587 | -0.148 | 0.111 |
| Calmar | 7.157 | 7.157 | 7.157 | 7.157 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 112.0 | 112.0 | 112.0 | 112.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 49% | 46% | 7% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 98% | 77% | 21% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 90% | 31% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 5 | 25 | 64 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 22 | 96 | 730 | 14715 |
| Unique markets | 1 | 6 | 48 | 864 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 100% | 53% |
| Avg entry price | 0.703 | 0.854 | 0.921 | 0.974 |
| Portfolio HHI | 1.000 | 0.423 | 0.113 | 0.013 |
| Maker share (notional) | 59% | 80% | 73% | 61% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.5 | 6.7 | 24.3 | 61.7 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.4 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 5.2 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 4 | 40 | 610 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 1.31 | 3.84 | 1.60 |
| Add-to-winner share | 100% | 76% | 69% | 77% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 24% | 28% | 19% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 67% | 79% | 69% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0003 | 0.0095 | 0.0221 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.0005 | 0.0704 | 0.0687 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.609 | 0.421 | 0.657 | 0.563 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $-0 | $199 | $943 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | -0.0% | 11.4% | 3.6% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0105 | 0.0105 | 0.0105 | 0.0105 |
| Alpha ($) | $-41 | $-41 | $-41 | $-41 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -4.8% | -4.8% | -4.8% | -4.8% |
| Contrarian score | 0.288 | 0.288 | 0.288 | 0.288 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0019 | 0.0019 | 0.0019 | 0.0019 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| Post-fill observations | 245 |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 89.6%
- News Sniper: 64.4%
- Scalper: 49.8%
- Tilted Gambler: 43.0%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 37.1%