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Contrarian FaderGrade FTilt warningarchetypes-v1
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Contrarian Fader because fills lean against recent price moves and it averages down.
Contrarian score is -0.60 (negative = buying against recent moves) with average-down share 68%.
Holds stretch longer (median 5.0 hours) while waiting for reversion.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:15:28 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$317k
Open PnL
$32k
Max drawdown
$135k
Underwater days
114
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.22k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $-2k | $-4.58k | $14.4k | $211k |
| Win rate | 0% | 38% | 56% | 48% |
| ROI | -100% | -94% | 52% | 109% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.675 | 0.000 | 0.080 |
| Markets | 1 | 8 | 37 | 1906 |
| Best day | $33 | $33 |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1.93 | 2.89 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-2k | $-573 | $139 | $470 |
| Median trade PnL | $-2k | $-98 | $1 | $-1 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.05 | 1.53 | 3.15 |
| Largest win | N/A | $147 | $4.51k | $41.9k |
| Largest loss | $-2k | $-2k | $-2.25k | $-14.7k |
| Expectancy | $-2k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $923 | $35.6k | $11.6k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.498 | 0.000 | 0.076 |
| Calmar | 2.342 | 2.342 | 2.342 | 2.342 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 100% | 41% | 10% | 10% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 100% | 37% | 37% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 57% | 48% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 2 | 10 | 10 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 3 | 12 | 93 | 6100 |
| Unique markets | 1 | 8 | 37 | 1906 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 57% | 67% | 80% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.650 | 0.437 | 0.093 |
| Portfolio HHI | 1.000 | 0.327 | 0.084 | 0.008 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 100% | 99% | 84% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 0.1 | 0.5 | 124.8 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 0.1 | 0.1 | 5.0 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 1 | 7 | 195 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 2.43 | 0.00 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 0% | 26% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 0% | 68% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.00 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 50% | 73% | 5% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0257 | 0.1537 | 0.1646 | 0.2224 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0257 | 0.1604 | 0.2076 | 0.2340 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.997 | 0.977 | 0.763 |
| Exit quality ($) | $0 | $-443 | $194 | $222 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.0% | 30.5% | 53.1% | 34.4% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0747 | -0.0747 | -0.0747 | -0.0747 |
| Alpha ($) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Contrarian score | -0.600 | -0.600 | -0.600 | -0.600 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0056 | -0.0056 | -0.0056 | -0.0056 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations | 15 |
Archetype scores
- Contrarian Fader: 74.1%
- Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
- Scalper: 66.0%
- News Sniper: 47.7%
- Longshot Hunter: 22.7%