0x2c02…b48d

0x2c02a009a60ea0e868f77fba65d6fcf73ff3b48d

ScalperGrade DStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

Secondary: News Sniper

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 892 with median hold 0.0 hours, maker share only 14%.

Capital velocity 1.4 and held-to-resolution 81% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 09:53:40 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$21.9k

Open PnL

$-11k

Max drawdown

$744

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	$21k	N/A	N/A
Realized PnL	$958	$32.8k	$32.8k	$32.8k
Win rate	60%	77%	77%	77%
ROI	40%	122%	122%	122%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	1.145	1.145	1.145
Markets	16	164	164	164
Best day	$-744	$6.46k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	2.40	8.80	8.80	8.80
Mean trade PnL	$64	$298	$298	$298
Median trade PnL	$56	$222	$222	$222
Payoff ratio	1.60	2.59	2.59	2.59
Largest win	$548	$2.95k	$2.95k	$2.95k
Largest loss	$-196	$-400	$-400	$-400
Expectancy	$64

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$2.62k	$2.62k	$2.62k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Calmar	28.204	28.204	28.204	28.204
Drawdown duration (days)	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	28%	7%	7%	7%
Concentration top-5	80%	21%	21%	21%
Concentration top-10	100%	33%	33%	33%
Max win streak	2	17	17	17
Max loss streak	2	2	2	2

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	90	892	892	892
Unique markets	16	164	164	164
Active days ratio	200%	114%	114%	114%
Avg entry price	0.417	0.307	0.307	0.307
Portfolio HHI	0.099	0.012	0.012	0.012
Maker share (notional)	12%	14%	14%	14%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Holding time median (h)	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Max concurrent	14	131	131	131
Disposition ratio	1.74	0.84	0.84	0.84
Add-to-winner share	78%	56%	56%	56%
Average-down share	22%	42%	42%	42%
Tilt ratio	2.19

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	82%	81%	81%	81%
Brier (weighted)	0.2126	0.2889	0.2889	0.2889
Brier (unweighted)	0.2176	0.3304	0.3304	0.3304
Entry timing mean	0.998	0.999	0.999	0.999
Exit quality ($)	$0	$-0	$-0	$-0
Exit quality ROI gap	0.0%	-0.0%	-0.0%	-0.0%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.0562	-0.0562	-0.0562	-0.0562
Alpha ($)	$104	$104	$104	$104
Alpha ROI gap	84.5%	84.5%	84.5%	84.5%
Contrarian score	-0.008	-0.008	-0.008	-0.008
Post-fill drift	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Post-fill candles (mean)	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Post-fill observations	N/A

Archetype scores

Scalper: 68.1%
News Sniper: 60.6%
Tilted Gambler: 45.9%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 33.2%
Conviction Holder: 32.9%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 3.29e-20; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x802081afa9… entry 0.219 timing 1.00
0xfb012a2859… entry 0.160 timing 1.00
0xc1550b7b17… entry 0.233 timing 1.00
0x2b42478cc8… entry 0.191 timing 1.00
0x6bb4467922… entry 0.276 timing 1.00
0xd12be6aad1… entry 0.226 timing 1.00
0x54d28cd2d6… entry 0.207 timing 1.00
0x4e3f68e094… entry 0.222 timing 1.00
0x481b9d32c1… entry 0.245 timing 1.00
0x3953643269… entry 0.289 timing 1.00
0x76d4d6f9ca… entry 0.122 timing 1.00
0xd4234bfe82… entry 0.226 timing 1.00
0xcdb7bcb59c… entry 0.182 timing 1.00
0x86eae0c9bb… entry 0.277 timing 1.00
0x93fdab6b60… entry 0.182 timing 1.00
0x638af6e8c4… entry 0.236 timing 1.00
0xcc55ebf25c… entry 0.265 timing 1.00
0xd6862fee57… entry 0.093 timing 1.00
0x2dde5c1c38… entry 0.270 timing 1.00

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0x2c02…b48d

0x2c02a009a60ea0e868f77fba65d6fcf73ff3b48d

Secondary: News Sniper

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 892 with median hold 0.0 hours, maker share only 14%.

Capital velocity 1.4 and held-to-resolution 81% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$21k

N/A

Realized PnL

$958

$32.8k

Win rate

60%

77%

ROI

40%

122%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

1.145

Markets

164

Best day

$-744

$6.46k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

2.40

8.80

Mean trade PnL

$64

$298

Median trade PnL

$56

$222

Payoff ratio

1.60

2.59

Largest win

$548

$2.95k

Largest loss

$-196

$-400

Expectancy

$64

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$2.62k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

Calmar

28.204

Drawdown duration (days)

0.4

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

28%

Concentration top-5

80%

21%

Concentration top-10

100%

33%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

892

Unique markets

164

Active days ratio

200%

114%

Avg entry price

0.417

0.307

Portfolio HHI

0.099

0.012

Maker share (notional)

12%

14%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

0.0

Holding time median (h)

0.0

Max concurrent

131

Disposition ratio

1.74

0.84

Add-to-winner share

78%

56%

Average-down share

22%

42%

Tilt ratio

2.19

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

82%

81%

Brier (weighted)

0.2126

0.2889

Brier (unweighted)

0.2176

0.3304

Entry timing mean

0.998

0.999

Exit quality ($)

$-0

Exit quality ROI gap

0.0%

-0.0%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.0562

Alpha ($)

$104

Alpha ROI gap

84.5%

Contrarian score

-0.008

Post-fill drift

N/A

Post-fill candles (mean)

N/A

Post-fill observations

N/A

Archetype scores

Scalper: 68.1%

News Sniper: 60.6%

Tilted Gambler: 45.9%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 33.2%

Conviction Holder: 32.9%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 3.29e-20; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x802081afa9… entry 0.219 timing 1.00
0xfb012a2859… entry 0.160 timing 1.00
0xc1550b7b17… entry 0.233 timing 1.00
0x2b42478cc8… entry 0.191 timing 1.00
0x6bb4467922… entry 0.276 timing 1.00
0xd12be6aad1… entry 0.226 timing 1.00
0x54d28cd2d6… entry 0.207 timing 1.00
0x4e3f68e094… entry 0.222 timing 1.00
0x481b9d32c1… entry 0.245 timing 1.00
0x3953643269… entry 0.289 timing 1.00
0x76d4d6f9ca… entry 0.122 timing 1.00
0xd4234bfe82… entry 0.226 timing 1.00
0xcdb7bcb59c… entry 0.182 timing 1.00
0x86eae0c9bb… entry 0.277 timing 1.00
0x93fdab6b60… entry 0.182 timing 1.00
0x638af6e8c4… entry 0.236 timing 1.00
0xcc55ebf25c… entry 0.265 timing 1.00
0xd6862fee57… entry 0.093 timing 1.00
0x2dde5c1c38… entry 0.270 timing 1.00

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xe52dc95b…	$2.95k	$245	1205.1%
0x39536432…	$1.97k	$800	245.9%
0xd6862fee…	$1.46k	$150	972.8%
0x481b9d32…	$1.23k	$400	307.5%
0x76d4d6f9…	$1.16k	$160	722.1%
0x2b42478c…	$1.06k	$250	424.8%
0x54d28cd2…	$960	$250	384.0%
0x4e3f68e0…	$876	$250	350.4%
0xd12be6aa…	$855	$250	342.0%
0xc1550b7b…	$824	$250	329.6%
0x638af6e8…	$809	$250	323.8%
0x93fdab6b…	$769	$171	449.5%
0x561772b9…	$742	$360	206.0%
0x55f42fd0…	$720	$180	400.0%
0x802081af…	$714	$200	357.2%

0x2c02…b48d

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x2c02…b48d

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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