0x2b670a311561dcaf741d8155451774d3fa7fb814
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 3136 with median hold 26.3 hours, maker share only 46%.
Capital velocity 1.9 and held-to-resolution 67% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 09:53:55 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.08k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $315 | $5.89k | $49.3k |
| Win rate | N/A | 57% | 64% | 65% |
| ROI | N/A | 19% | 4% | 16% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.037 | -0.024 | 0.098 |
| Markets | 5 | 32 | 113 | 200 |
| Best day | $666 | $4.7k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 3.14 | 1.23 | 2.24 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $45 | $74 | $324 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $8 | $34 | $37 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 2.36 | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| Largest win | N/A | $280 | $10.8k | $31.1k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-80 | $-7.97k | $-7.97k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $3.25k | $2.93k | $4.01k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.028 | -0.024 | 0.179 |
| Calmar | 2.407 | 2.407 | 2.407 | 2.407 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 10.4 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 10.4 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 46% | 19% | 24% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 96% | 59% | 51% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 77% | 67% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 3 | 9 | 11 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 19 | 242 | 2043 | 3136 |
| Unique markets | 5 | 32 | 113 | 200 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 90% |
| Avg entry price | 0.008 | 0.040 | 0.149 | 0.186 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.378 | 0.112 | 0.029 | 0.021 |
| Maker share (notional) | 50% | 51% | 51% | 46% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.0 | 17.2 | 57.4 | 88.2 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.7 | 8.6 | 25.7 | 26.3 |
| Max concurrent | 4 | 19 | 83 | 139 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 1.30 | 0.38 | 0.48 |
| Add-to-winner share | 33% | 82% | 51% | 56% |
| Average-down share | 67% | 12% | 46% | 42% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 56% | 73% | 67% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.2722 | 0.0869 | 0.1491 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.2530 | 0.1087 | 0.1291 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.796 | 0.583 | 0.643 | 0.602 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $30 | $144 | $-634 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 9.1% | 13.3% | 6.4% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0456 | -0.0456 | -0.0456 | -0.0456 |
| Alpha ($) | $127 | $127 | $127 | $127 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -18.5% | -18.5% | -18.5% | -18.5% |
| Contrarian score | 0.039 | 0.039 | 0.039 | 0.039 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0173 | -0.0173 | -0.0173 | -0.0173 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 5.37e-5; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $7.37k |
| $26.4k |
| Worst day | $666 | $-5.45k | $-5.48k | $-6.61k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $45 |
| $74 |
| $324 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 14% |
| 37% |
| 8% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 50% | 40% | 46% | 16% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 50% | 67% | 77% | 4% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 100% | 73% | 74% | 32% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 84% | 83% | 39% |
| 3% |
| 13% |
| 14% |
| Spread capture | -0.0394 | -0.0597 | -0.0216 | -0.0173 |
| Inventory turnover | 19.00 | 242.00 | 2043.00 | 3136.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | 11.63 | 1.66 | 1.88 |
| Avg ticket | $75 | $78 | $135 | $185 |
| Median ticket | $2 | $10 | $13 | $14 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -108.50 | 47.38 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.33 |
| 2.25 |
| 1.92 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Iran | $39.1k | 68% | 28 |
| Politics | $8.5k | 86% | 14 |
| Pandemics | $1.88k | 100% | 1 |
| Sports | $1.5k | 100% | 4 |
| AI | $-802 | 65% | 55 |
| Tech | $715 | 80% | 10 |
| Trump | $-690 | 50% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | $-679 | 50% | 2 |
| Iran Ceasefire | $-592 | 0% | 1 |
| Big Tech | $339 | 100% | 2 |
| Gemini | $335 | 75% | 4 |
| Enrich | $-305 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd86a8160… | $31.1k | $12.1k | 256.3% |
| 0xd271c2ad… | $10.7k | $3.01k | 354.3% |
| 0x178b29c0… | $-8.54k | $14.7k | -58.2% |
| 0x6114a8a3… | $6.95k | $6.69k | 103.7% |
| 0x0fc75144… | $-6.1k | $10.3k | -59.4% |
| 0x3088733a… | $5.09k | $4.26k | 119.4% |
| 0xb0b4220a… | $2.96k | $8.02k | 37.0% |
| 0x8ce53b95… | $2.88k | $12.4k | 23.3% |
| 0x50361a31… | $-2.34k | $4.78k | -48.9% |
| 0xa4ddc188… | $1.88k | $8.58k | 21.9% |
| 0x4495596e… | $-1.83k | $11.4k | -16.0% |
| 0xed25d03a… | $1.67k | $5.95k | 28.0% |
| 0xa717df3d… | $1.64k | $1.39k | 118.0% |
| 0x845c5db1… | $-1.42k | $2.67k | -53.1% |
| 0xb466f810… | $-1.37k | $1.67k | -81.9% |
| 438 |
| 438 |
| 438 |
| 438 |