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0x2b59…9db6 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0x2b59…9db6
0x2b5920274740ca61745eeb077587bf5bb4ff9db6
Secondary: Favorite Grinder
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 64060 with median hold 20.3 hours, maker share only 81%.
Capital velocity 1.9 and held-to-resolution 40% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Favorite Grinder, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:02:40 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $32k | $50.7k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $-209 | $-662 | $-269 | $-269 |
| Win rate | 23% | 24% | 23% | 23% |
| ROI | -0% | -0% | -0% | -0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.523 | 0.403 | 0.314 |
| Markets | 634 | 4159 | 14391 | 14391 |
| Best day | $-242 | $24.4k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 0.99 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Median trade PnL | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Payoff ratio | 3.30 | 3.06 | 3.37 | 3.37 |
| Largest win | $14.3k | $22.5k | $22.5k | $22.5k |
| Largest loss | $-6.94k | $-6.94k | $-6.94k | $-6.94k |
| Expectancy | $-0 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $8.88k | $5.03k | $3.86k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 3.972 | 0.498 | 0.365 |
| Calmar | 9.976 | 9.976 | 9.976 | 9.976 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 34% | 18% | 7% | 7% |
| Concentration top-5 | 72% | 45% | 20% | 20% |
| Concentration top-10 | 78% | 60% | 31% | 31% |
| Max win streak | 15 | 15 | 20 | 20 |
| Max loss streak | 57 | 93 | 93 | 93 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 1658 | 13814 | 64060 | 64060 |
| Unique markets | 634 | 4159 | 14391 | 14391 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 100% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | 0.658 | 0.506 | 0.254 | 0.254 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.202 | 0.024 | 0.006 | 0.006 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 17% | 81% | 81% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 2.6 | 17.7 | 46.8 | 46.8 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.6 | 5.3 | 20.3 | 20.3 |
| Max concurrent | 342 | 2184 | 7063 | 7063 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.92 | 0.73 | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| Add-to-winner share | 36% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Average-down share | 54% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.34 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 55% | 44% | 40% | 40% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0077 | 0.0185 | 0.0292 | 0.0292 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0373 | 0.0428 | 0.0468 | 0.0468 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.494 | 0.485 | 0.443 | 0.443 |
| Exit quality ($) | $9 | $3 | $6 | $6 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 576.5% | 578.9% | 603.0% | 603.0% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alpha ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alpha ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Contrarian score | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Post-fill drift | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Post-fill observations | N/A |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 50.7%
- Favorite Grinder: 50.0%
- Longshot Hunter: 33.0%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 31.4%
- Tilted Gambler: 30.0%
| Worst day | $-242 | $-1.14k | $-8.86k | $-8.86k |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | 0.0014 | 0.0014 |
| Inventory turnover | 1658.00 | 13814.00 | 64060.00 | 64060.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.90 | 0.95 | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -2315.20 | -2315.20 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $10.2k | 28% | 1602 |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup | $-6.72k | 13% | 86 |
| Formula 1 | $-3.63k | 12% | 284 |
| Weather | $-2.89k | 20% | 4001 |
| Politics | $2.43k | 26% | 469 |
| Colombia Election | $-2.06k | 0% | 14 |
| Tech | $1.52k | 22% | 77 |
| Soccer | $1.39k | 25% | 297 |
| Peru | $-1.11k | 12% | 17 |
| primary elections | $-921 | 13% | 46 |
| IPO | $-734 | 17% | 41 |
| Continental Futures | $-648 | 0% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x8bf1c153… | $22.5k | $1.62k | 1387.1% |
| 0xaf767784… | $14.3k | $112 | 12714.8% |
| 0x8ca66a30… | $11.1k | $72 | 15417.4% |
| 0x378f7b5c… | $8.31k | $13 | 64615.9% |
| 0x43bde2aa… | $7.58k | $70 | 10840.3% |
| 0xc41f543c… | $-7.24k | $21.2k | -34.1% |
| 0x4822d145… | $-6.94k | $22.4k | -31.0% |
| 0x2a28cc33… | $-6.38k | $21.5k | -29.7% |
| 0x3d675f1c… | $-6.37k | $16.7k | -38.1% |
| 0x4ede078c… | $-5.98k | $28.6k | -20.9% |
| 0x17e6ca6b… | $-5.07k | $15.4k | -32.9% |
| 0x44e25f75… | $4.97k | $519 | 957.3% |
| 0xc09537a0… | $4.92k | $135 | 3643.5% |
| 0x8a3ca97b… | $-4.73k | $15.1k | -31.2% |
| 0x057885f5… | $-4.19k | $12.5k | -33.4% |