0x2b3d…8db7

0x2b3d1e9bdf941d435dc91a8b974b86f7064c8db7

News SniperGrade BStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

Secondary: Scalper

This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.

Weekly activity shows 38 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.58 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).

Holds stay short (median 18.2 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.

A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 10:03:36 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$280k

Open PnL

$-7.75k

Max drawdown

$5.21k

Underwater days

369

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	$209k	$234k	N/A
Realized PnL	$16.8k	$22.1k	$33.4k	$40.8k
Win rate	78%	67%	60%	47%
ROI	464%	161%	86%	18%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.496	0.284	0.067
Markets	54	331	775	2427
Best day	$198	$164k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	75.53	23.25	8.43	1.76
Mean trade PnL	$729	$110	$64	$21
Median trade PnL	$12	$4	$2	$-0
Payoff ratio	20.98	11.37	5.71	1.99
Largest win	$15.2k	$15.2k	$15.2k	$15.2k
Largest loss	$-207	$-207	$-229	$-1.46k
Expectancy	$729

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$60.2k	$30k	$6.87k
Sortino (daily)	2.869	2.869	70.916	2.078
Calmar	52.789	52.789	52.789	52.789
Drawdown duration (days)	370.0	370.0	370.0	370.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	88%	64%	36%	10%
Concentration top-5	98%	73%	46%	17%
Concentration top-10	99%	79%	53%	22%
Max win streak	5	13	13	19
Max loss streak	1	10	31	95

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	191	1096	5276	18763
Unique markets	54	331	775	2427
Active days ratio	200%	114%	103%	41%
Avg entry price	0.027	0.062	0.063	0.111
Portfolio HHI	0.131	0.029	0.011	0.003
Maker share (notional)	57%	42%	33%	33%
Two-sided share	0%

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	4.4	32.4	67.9	109.0
Holding time median (h)	2.6	30.6	22.0	18.2
Max concurrent	29	200	402	1267
Disposition ratio	3.78	0.51	3.81	1.02
Add-to-winner share	85%	57%	53%	57%
Average-down share	12%	19%	37%	31%
Tilt ratio	0.98

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	75%	62%	47%	51%
Brier (weighted)	0.0655	0.1327	0.1292	0.1528
Brier (unweighted)	0.0174	0.0245	0.0668	0.1303
Entry timing mean	0.868	0.541	0.587	0.583
Exit quality ($)	$85	$30	$35	$8
Exit quality ROI gap	383.5%	208.7%	59.2%	-2.2%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.0083	0.0083	0.0083	0.0083
Alpha ($)	$44	$44	$44	$44
Alpha ROI gap	198.9%	198.9%	198.9%	198.9%
Contrarian score	-0.140	-0.140	-0.140	-0.140
Post-fill drift	0.0057	0.0057	0.0057	0.0057
Post-fill candles (mean)	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

News Sniper: 61.8%
Scalper: 57.8%
Tilted Gambler: 50.9%
Contrarian Fader: 33.5%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 26.4%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 4.74e-132; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x148288c99e… entry 0.018
0xdbaafdb35b… entry 0.018
0x7a7ee42a42… entry 0.018
0xaeec5397b4… entry 0.002
0x0a918da207… entry 0.036 timing 0.80
0xfbd6368257… entry 0.036 timing 0.80
0x2ed8a2f0f6… entry 0.008 timing 0.42
0x58b9789e07… entry 0.008 timing 0.64
0x43e9f03471… entry 0.008 timing 0.61
0x98e9361afe… entry 0.008 timing 0.19
0x6adbc1e19d… entry 0.008 timing 0.13
0xc8a3493513… entry 0.260 timing 0.04
0xa96808b15e… entry 0.009 timing 0.06
0xe204117b38… entry 0.008 timing 0.13
0x052e0cd18e… entry 0.008 timing 0.39
0x4ae744540f… entry 0.008 timing 0.32
0xd47962d32f… entry 0.008 timing 0.19
0x460dce5c36… entry 0.207 timing 0.01
0x74222e46d1… entry 0.008 timing 0.13

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0x2b3d…8db7

0x2b3d1e9bdf941d435dc91a8b974b86f7064c8db7

Secondary: Scalper

This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.

Weekly activity shows 38 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.58 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).

Holds stay short (median 18.2 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.

A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$209k

$234k

N/A

Realized PnL

$16.8k

$22.1k

$33.4k

$40.8k

Win rate

78%

67%

60%

47%

ROI

464%

161%

86%

18%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.496

0.284

0.067

Markets

331

775

2427

Best day

$198

$164k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

75.53

23.25

8.43

1.76

Mean trade PnL

$729

$110

$64

$21

Median trade PnL

$12

$-0

Payoff ratio

20.98

11.37

5.71

1.99

Largest win

$15.2k

Largest loss

$-207

$-229

$-1.46k

Expectancy

$729

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$60.2k

$30k

$6.87k

Sortino (daily)

2.869

70.916

2.078

Calmar

52.789

Drawdown duration (days)

370.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

88%

64%

36%

10%

Concentration top-5

98%

73%

46%

17%

Concentration top-10

99%

79%

53%

22%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

191

1096

5276

18763

Unique markets

331

775

2427

Active days ratio

200%

114%

103%

41%

Avg entry price

0.027

0.062

0.063

0.111

Portfolio HHI

0.131

0.029

0.011

0.003

Maker share (notional)

57%

42%

33%

Two-sided share

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

4.4

32.4

67.9

109.0

Holding time median (h)

2.6

30.6

22.0

18.2

Max concurrent

200

402

1267

Disposition ratio

3.78

0.51

3.81

1.02

Add-to-winner share

85%

57%

53%

57%

Average-down share

12%

19%

37%

31%

Tilt ratio

0.98

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

75%

62%

47%

51%

Brier (weighted)

0.0655

0.1327

0.1292

0.1528

Brier (unweighted)

0.0174

0.0245

0.0668

0.1303

Entry timing mean

0.868

0.541

0.587

0.583

Exit quality ($)

$85

$30

$35

Exit quality ROI gap

383.5%

208.7%

59.2%

-2.2%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.0083

Alpha ($)

$44

Alpha ROI gap

198.9%

Contrarian score

-0.140

Post-fill drift

0.0057

Post-fill candles (mean)

5.7

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

News Sniper: 61.8%

Scalper: 57.8%

Tilted Gambler: 50.9%

Contrarian Fader: 33.5%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 26.4%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 4.74e-132; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x148288c99e… entry 0.018
0xdbaafdb35b… entry 0.018
0x7a7ee42a42… entry 0.018
0xaeec5397b4… entry 0.002
0x0a918da207… entry 0.036 timing 0.80
0xfbd6368257… entry 0.036 timing 0.80
0x2ed8a2f0f6… entry 0.008 timing 0.42
0x58b9789e07… entry 0.008 timing 0.64
0x43e9f03471… entry 0.008 timing 0.61
0x98e9361afe… entry 0.008 timing 0.19
0x6adbc1e19d… entry 0.008 timing 0.13
0xc8a3493513… entry 0.260 timing 0.04
0xa96808b15e… entry 0.009 timing 0.06
0xe204117b38… entry 0.008 timing 0.13
0x052e0cd18e… entry 0.008 timing 0.39
0x4ae744540f… entry 0.008 timing 0.32
0xd47962d32f… entry 0.008 timing 0.19
0x460dce5c36… entry 0.207 timing 0.01
0x74222e46d1… entry 0.008 timing 0.13

Soccer	$18.8k	66%	97
Sports	$8.9k	41%	516
Music	$3.19k	79%	39
2026 FIFA World Cup	$2.35k	75%	59
DNC	$2k	36%	11
TV	$1.77k	56%	41
Formula 1	$1.62k	36%	107
Movies	$1.55k	44%	63
Up or Down	$-1.42k	35%	46
Wimbledon	$1.42k	56%	54
Kamala	$-1.36k	47%	32
Mentions	$-1.17k	49%	160

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x7d3e5102…	$15.4k	$2.08k	740.9%
0xdc71e1fb…	$3.42k	$2.76k	124.0%
0x408c049c…	$2.15k	$552	389.3%
0xc2f35a87…	$-1.97k	$4.74k	-41.6%
0x21552bdd…	$1.76k	$240	733.3%
0x57cbffe0…	$1.6k	$1.4k	114.2%
0xc219cd59…	$-1.46k	$1.46k	-100.0%
0x49479fd3…	$1.44k	$60	2397.5%
0x4f39bca8…	$1.02k	$1.12k	90.8%
0x9c35e188…	$998	$1.99k	50.2%
0x5ac04b79…	$-974	$1.31k	-74.3%
0xdf654c72…	$936	$1.16k	80.6%
0x54021872…	$930	$788	118.0%
0x229698a0…	$898	$902	99.6%
0x8c0a056d…	$830	$160	518.8%

0x2b3d…8db7

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x2b3d…8db7

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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