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0x2b15b1cab8917d786e44765002a07a78ee8c9b08
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
51% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (79%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.75).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 09:59:48 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $10.4k | $21.6k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $21.6k | $21.6k | $48.8k | $999k |
| Win rate | 91% | 91% | 73% | 79% |
| ROI | 19% | 19% | 13% | 11% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.410 | 0.061 | -0.015 |
| Markets | 11 | 11 | 42 | 630 |
| Best day | $20.1k | $20.1k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 29.84 | 29.84 | 4.88 | 2.82 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.97k | $1.97k | $1.08k | $1.56k |
| Median trade PnL | $886 | $886 | $33 | $240 |
| Payoff ratio | 2.98 | 2.98 | 1.79 | 0.75 |
| Largest win | $9.72k | $9.72k | $11.9k | $120k |
| Largest loss | $-750 | $-750 | $-6.4k | $-49.1k |
| Expectancy | $1.97k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $7.53k | $7.31k | $12.6k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.021 | -0.012 |
| Calmar | -0.224 | -0.224 | -0.224 | -0.224 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 210.4 | 210.4 | 210.4 | 210.4 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 42% | 42% | 16% | 6% |
| Concentration top-5 | 93% | 93% | 52% | 13% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 78% | 20% |
| Max win streak | 7 | 7 | 10 | 30 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 346 | 346 | 1448 | 49549 |
| Unique markets | 11 | 11 | 42 | 630 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 200% | 41% | 70% |
| Avg entry price | 0.825 | 0.825 | 0.436 | 0.582 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.224 | 0.224 | 0.049 | 0.057 |
| Maker share (notional) | 67% | 67% | 61% | 76% |
| Two-sided share | 9% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 67.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.3 |
| Max concurrent | 5 | 5 | 25 | 321 |
| Disposition ratio | 27.67 | 27.67 | 0.40 | 0.67 |
| Add-to-winner share | 78% | 78% | 41% | 43% |
| Average-down share | 22% | 22% | 59% | 44% |
| Tilt ratio | 3.51 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 33% | 33% | 54% | 46% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0399 | 0.0399 | 0.0763 | 0.0770 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0466 | 0.0466 | 0.0898 | 0.1254 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.987 | 0.987 | 0.958 | 0.853 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-122 | $-122 | $-296 | $218 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 1.5% | 1.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0278 | -0.0278 | -0.0278 | -0.0278 |
| Alpha ($) | $-489 | $-489 | $-489 | $-489 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -77.2% | -77.2% | -77.2% | -77.2% |
| Contrarian score | -0.023 | -0.023 | -0.023 | -0.023 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0279 | -0.0279 | -0.0279 | -0.0279 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $20.1k |
| $127k |
| Worst day | $20.1k | $0 | $-30.4k | $-68.9k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $1.97k |
| $1.08k |
| $1.56k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 50% |
| 38% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 6% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 100% | 40% | 70% | 17% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 82% | 83% | 26% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 97% | 51% |
| 9% |
| 19% |
| 21% |
| Spread capture | -0.0064 | -0.0064 | 0.0486 | 0.0451 |
| Inventory turnover | 346.00 | 346.00 | 1448.00 | 49549.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.35 | 1.76 |
| Avg ticket | $366 | $366 | $357 | $337 |
| Median ticket | $64 | $64 | $33 | $13 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -47.60 | 5.86 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3.51 |
| 1.23 |
| 2.09 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $938k | 78% | 562 |
| Up or Down | $43.1k | 96% | 23 |
| FDV | $11.8k | 100% | 3 |
| Lighter | $-8.51k | 50% | 2 |
| UFC 325 | $5.52k | 60% | 5 |
| Bitcoin | $3.21k | 100% | 2 |
| HFC | $1.85k | 100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | $1.8k | 100% | 1 |
| Boxing | $1.09k | 100% | 1 |
| Trade War | $763 | 100% | 1 |
| Davos | $-629 | 0% | 1 |
| NBA | $379 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4a24b9e9… | $120k | $178k | 67.3% |
| 0x161f6376… | $-50.6k | $91.7k | -55.1% |
| 0x531bc939… | $41.9k | $30.9k | 135.7% |
| 0x1b30bb47… | $32k | $68.2k | 46.9% |
| 0x8e3342fe… | $28.3k | $13.1k | 216.0% |
| 0x083d2c17… | $-27.4k | $27.8k | -98.7% |
| 0x713d9ccf… | $-27k | $28.7k | -94.2% |
| 0xaa222f2a… | $25k | $25k | 100.0% |
| 0x7c208b6b… | $24.4k | $27.5k | 88.7% |
| 0xe4ece085… | $-22k | $23.4k | -94.0% |
| 0xa56e8b87… | $18.3k | $28.2k | 64.9% |
| 0xe006a9c8… | $17.9k | $70.5k | 25.3% |
| 0xc0f784fa… | $17.8k | $14.7k | 121.2% |
| 0x24495352… | $-17.4k | $37.9k | -45.9% |
| 0xd1c09ae1… | $17.1k | $6.41k | 266.1% |
| 596 |
| 596 |
| 596 |
| 596 |