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0x2974bd0059e48f215c391882976e0f1b4c8c9c23
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
54% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (88%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.23).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 09:52:16 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $5.98k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $2.97k | $3.29k | $10.4k | $12.2k |
| Win rate | 100% | 88% | 94% | 88% |
| ROI | 9% | 5% | 7% | 4% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -1.103 | -0.382 | 0.042 |
| Markets | 6 | 19 | 44 | 79 |
| Best day | $-781 | $127 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 3.70 | 8.87 | 1.71 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.48k | $412 | $305 | $244 |
| Median trade PnL | $1.48k | $153 | $111 | $120 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.53 | 0.55 | 0.23 |
| Largest win | $2.94k | $2.94k | $3.33k | $6.46k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-1.22k | $-1.22k | $-6.36k |
| Expectancy | $1.48k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $8.42k | $6.55k | $27.8k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.647 | -0.248 | 0.054 |
| Calmar | 0.989 | 0.989 | 0.989 | 0.989 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 47.0 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 47.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 99% | 51% | 26% | 14% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 99% | 69% | 56% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 84% | 80% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 5 | 24 | 24 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 20 | 76 | 156 | 500 |
| Unique markets | 6 | 19 | 44 | 79 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 86% | 72% | 59% |
| Avg entry price | 0.716 | 0.748 | 0.831 | 0.817 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.313 | 0.167 | 0.074 | 0.050 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.3 | 49.1 | 71.0 | 174.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.1 | 60.2 | 51.9 | 59.8 |
| Max concurrent | 4 | 10 | 33 | 57 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 1.07 | 0.08 | 1.30 |
| Add-to-winner share | 20% | 40% | 46% | 70% |
| Average-down share | 60% | 55% | 46% | 28% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 50% | 60% | 84% | 72% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0063 | 0.0064 | 0.0122 | 0.0643 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0036 | 0.0052 | 0.0372 | 0.1075 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.917 | 0.646 | 0.667 | 0.510 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-1 | $-26 | $7 | $-13 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.1% | -0.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.3801 | -0.3801 | -0.3801 | -0.3801 |
| Alpha ($) | $-1.34k | $-1.34k | $-1.34k | $-1.34k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -9.6% | -9.6% | -9.6% | -9.6% |
| Contrarian score | -0.221 | -0.221 | -0.221 | -0.221 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0439 | -0.0439 | -0.0439 | -0.0439 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $6.05k |
| $222k |
| Worst day | $-781 | $-23.4k | $-23.4k | $-86.5k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $412 |
| $305 |
| $244 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 67% | 91% | 91% | 46% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 54% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 20.00 | 76.00 | 156.00 | 500.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.98 | 2.30 | 1.66 | 2.15 |
| Avg ticket | $5.15k | $1.96k | $1.64k | $1.27k |
| Median ticket | $4.2k | $884 | $940 | $587 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 5.80 | -12.23 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.28 |
| 0.43 |
| 0.50 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Politics | $9.92k | 100% | 7 |
| Sports | $5.33k | 95% | 20 |
| Iran | $-4.44k | 67% | 12 |
| Oil | $1.69k | 100% | 6 |
| Finance | $-1.22k | 0% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | $507 | 100% | 1 |
| Military Strikes | $267 | 100% | 1 |
| Cuba | $108 | 100% | 1 |
| shah | $67 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd7540d64… | $6.46k | $41.2k | 15.7% |
| 0xa743ce4a… | $-6.36k | $7.2k | -88.3% |
| 0x92485347… | $-5.69k | $5.71k | -99.6% |
| 0xbf1d0865… | $3.75k | $12.1k | 31.1% |
| 0xbdf0bbe0… | $-3.59k | $3.67k | -97.9% |
| 0x676e7cda… | $3.33k | $17.8k | 18.7% |
| 0xaeec5397… | $2.94k | $33.5k | 8.8% |
| 0x1eeb9106… | $2.51k | $20.5k | 12.3% |
| 0x4997c22d… | $1.39k | $27.7k | 5.0% |
| 0x3a869359… | $-1.22k | $2.71k | -45.1% |
| 0xe3578450… | $1.18k | $4.99k | 23.7% |
| 0x6c486242… | $875 | $7.38k | 11.9% |
| 0xd8664606… | $852 | $6.68k | 12.8% |
| 0xba8af64c… | $762 | $3.71k | 20.5% |
| 0x5d083a3e… | $603 | $9.46k | 6.4% |
| 338 |
| 338 |
| 338 |
| 338 |