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0x26f8…3452
0x26f8af9d49328e5fdae2c24e62e5c523bebd3452
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 21726 with median hold 0.1 hours, maker share only 52%.
Capital velocity 1.8 and held-to-resolution 41% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 09:48:50 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$-55.8k
Open PnL
$-26.2k
Max drawdown
$319k
Underwater days
91
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.37k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $7k | $7.95k | $76.5k | $-31.1k |
| Win rate | 80% | 65% | 64% | 57% |
| ROI | 89% | 11% | 18% | -1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.131 | 0.280 | -0.016 |
| Markets | 10 | 41 | 202 | 1316 |
| Best day | $-4.83k | $9.51k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 24.21 | 1.33 | 1.65 | 0.99 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.4k | $215 | $403 | $-23 |
| Median trade PnL | $670 | $278 | $431 | $111 |
| Payoff ratio | 6.05 | 0.72 | 0.94 | 0.74 |
| Largest win | $3.69k | $3.89k | $7.96k | $63.6k |
| Largest loss | $-302 | $-5.02k | $-7.46k | $-65.1k |
| Expectancy | $1.4k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $6.19k | $6.25k | $16.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.126 | 0.238 | -0.014 |
| Calmar | -0.167 | -0.167 | -0.167 | -0.167 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 90.4 | 90.4 | 90.4 | 90.4 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 49% | 9% | 3% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 35% | 12% | 7% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 60% | 19% | 12% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 11 | 11 | 23 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 8 | 13 | 39 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 121 | 444 | 2383 | 21726 |
| Unique markets | 10 | 41 | 202 | 1316 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 103% | 96% |
| Avg entry price | 0.405 | 0.561 | 0.525 | 0.590 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.188 | 0.041 | 0.010 | 0.003 |
| Maker share (notional) | 38% | 41% | 33% | 52% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Holding time median (h) | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Max concurrent | 6 | 22 | 88 | 540 |
| Disposition ratio | 6.20 | 4.60 | 3.05 | 0.03 |
| Add-to-winner share | 99% | 98% | 92% | 83% |
| Average-down share | 1% | 2% | 7% | 17% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.73 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 50% | 49% | 40% | 41% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2889 | 0.2175 | 0.1946 | 0.2193 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1852 | 0.1941 | 0.2042 | 0.2143 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.972 | 0.815 | 0.852 | 0.846 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-494 | $-137 | $-92 | $122 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -22.7% | -19.0% | -5.9% | -4.7% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0677 | -0.0677 | -0.0677 | -0.0677 |
| Alpha ($) | $-353 | $-353 | $-353 | $-353 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -28.5% | -28.5% | -28.5% | -28.5% |
| Contrarian score | 0.114 | 0.114 | 0.114 | 0.114 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0764 | -0.0764 | -0.0764 | -0.0764 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 68.8%
- Tilted Gambler: 63.9%
- News Sniper: 59.2%
- Conviction Holder: 24.2%
- Longshot Hunter: 15.0%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 6.42e-5; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0x386904abdf… entry 0.279 timing 1.00
- 0x096ab33e20… entry 0.253
- 0x7976cd13f0… entry 0.247
- 0xd679281150… entry 0.224 timing 0.99
- 0xf5343d2962… entry 0.300 timing 0.23
- 0xc21b770a5a… entry 0.220