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0x26d33662187b4cca1b8ddbe5fee9e256c7338a20
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.
Mean entry timing is early (0.30 of market life) and 99% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.
Turnover stays low (1373.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 09:52:17 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $3.66k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $5.14k | $5.08k | $-6.21k | $354 |
| Win rate | 86% | 81% | 79% | 81% |
| ROI | 40% | 28% | -20% | 0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.316 | 0.155 | -0.003 |
| Markets | 23 | 90 | 345 | 1122 |
| Best day | $5.02k | $5.02k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 10.95 | 4.02 | 0.53 | 1.02 |
| Mean trade PnL | $234 | $56 | $-18 | $0 |
| Median trade PnL | $24 | $2 | $1 | $1 |
| Payoff ratio | 1.73 | 0.92 | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| Largest win | $3.12k | $3.12k | $3.12k | $3.12k |
| Largest loss | $-459 | $-461 | $-6.09k | $-6.09k |
| Expectancy | $234 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $1.96k | $930 | $1.04k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 1.286 | 0.763 | -0.001 |
| Calmar | -0.033 | -0.033 | -0.033 | -0.033 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 119.4 | 119.4 | 119.4 | 119.4 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 50% | 37% | 30% | 13% |
| Concentration top-5 | 89% | 69% | 80% | 36% |
| Concentration top-10 | 98% | 82% | 88% | 41% |
| Max win streak | 11 | 33 | 88 | 88 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 6 | 33 | 33 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 42 | 118 | 385 | 1373 |
| Unique markets | 23 | 90 | 345 | 1122 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 104% | 44% |
| Avg entry price | 0.690 | 0.709 | 0.680 | 0.343 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.164 | 0.090 | 0.078 | 0.013 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 4.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 3.0 |
| Max concurrent | 23 | 90 | 345 | 1106 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.93 | 1.16 | 0.60 | 0.91 |
| Add-to-winner share | 90% | 88% | 80% | 66% |
| Average-down share | 10% | 13% | 20% | 30% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.08 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1215 | 0.1267 | 0.1482 | 0.2484 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1076 | 0.1289 | 0.1318 | 0.2454 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.332 | 0.281 | 0.271 | 0.296 |
| Exit quality ($) | $1 | $0 | $0 | $19 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | 0.5% | -0.5% | 18.3% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0768 | 0.0768 | 0.0768 | 0.0768 |
| Alpha ($) | $-115 | $-115 | $-115 | $-115 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -127.9% | -127.9% | -127.9% | -127.9% |
| Contrarian score | -0.277 | -0.277 | -0.277 | -0.277 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0750 | 0.0750 | 0.0750 | 0.0750 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $5.02k |
| $5.02k |
| Worst day | $5.02k | $-624 | $-624 | $-11.1k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $56 |
| $-18 |
| $0 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 20% |
| 11% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | 11% | 47% | 11% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 67% | 62% | 60% | 63% | 22% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 88% | 80% | 79% | 81% | 47% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 96% | 99% | 20% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 42.00 | 118.00 | 385.00 | 1373.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.07 | 1.05 | 0.66 | 1.05 |
| Avg ticket | $323 | $161 | $53 | $68 |
| Median ticket | $66 | $13 | $5 | $11 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 5.10 | -5.94 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 0.83 |
| 0.65 |
| 0.87 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Tennis | $384 | 85% | 212 |
| Sports | $-32 | 80% | 928 |
| uncategorized | $2 | 100% | 1 |
| Esports | $0 | 50% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x491121cc… | $-6.09k | $6.09k | -100.0% |
| 0x88b662bf… | $-5.18k | $5.18k | -100.0% |
| 0xfa4affc7… | $3.12k | $3.78k | 82.5% |
| 0x73a0587c… | $1.41k | $3.55k | 39.8% |
| 0xb34e8734… | $722 | $206 | 350.1% |
| 0x5e4d6592… | $535 | $190 | 281.4% |
| 0x8860bbd1… | $505 | $178 | 284.6% |
| 0xfdbaa4ae… | $-461 | $461 | -100.0% |
| 0x5264b99e… | $-459 | $459 | -100.0% |
| 0x91cbcee4… | $437 | $214 | 204.6% |
| 0x52ecf410… | $419 | $155 | 270.4% |
| 0xfb2f569e… | $-399 | $399 | -100.0% |
| 0x0d880c18… | $-395 | $395 | -100.0% |
| 0xacc2d7b8… | $374 | $195 | 192.1% |
| 0x480192d3… | $-342 | $733 | -46.6% |
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