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0x252d…c456 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0x252d…c456
0x252d7bae5ec87553dcafb23e275c202ac0d3c456
This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.
Maker share of notional is 70% and two-sided activity is 56%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.
Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 43573.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.
Little of its inventory is held to resolution (42%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.
Updated 2026-07-19 09:52:14 UTC
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $68.9k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $3 | $71.7k | $154k | $237k |
| Win rate | 100% | 76% | 72% | 51% |
| ROI | 9% | 41% | 22% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.426 | 0.788 | 0.000 |
| Markets | 2 | 35 | 159 | 1728 |
| Best day | $180 | $13.6k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 28.54 | 2.72 | 1.10 |
| Mean trade PnL | $3 | $1.75k | $826 | $76 |
| Median trade PnL | $3 | $90 | $33 | $0 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 9.21 | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| Largest win | $3 | $35.5k | $35.5k | $55.9k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-874 | $-11.5k | $-57k |
| Expectancy | $3 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $5.73k | $4.97k | $12.3k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 1.068 | 0.000 |
| Calmar | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 221.4 | 221.4 | 221.4 | 221.4 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 100% | 46% | 11% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 85% | 41% | 7% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 95% | 54% | 11% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 8 | 16 | 16 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 2 | 3 | 22 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 3 | 417 | 2432 | 43573 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 35 | 159 | 1728 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 100% | 100% | 83% |
| Avg entry price | 0.051 | 0.332 | 0.374 | 0.384 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.661 | 0.125 | 0.030 | 0.003 |
| Maker share (notional) | 78% | 66% | 49% | 70% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 10.2 | 9.3 | 48.5 | 65.8 |
| Holding time median (h) | 10.2 | 4.9 | 16.4 | 13.0 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 24 | 105 | 774 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 1.09 | 0.83 | 0.97 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 52% | 49% | 56% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 47% | 50% | 42% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 50% | 71% | 59% | 42% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0064 | 0.1633 | 0.1331 | 0.1117 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0064 | 0.1247 | 0.1019 | 0.1195 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.601 | 0.456 | 0.498 | 0.487 |
| Exit quality ($) | $0 | $-518 | $-272 | $10 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.0% | 16.4% | 175.2% | 139.9% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1176 | 0.1176 | 0.1176 | 0.1176 |
| Alpha ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alpha ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Contrarian score | 0.286 | 0.286 | 0.286 | 0.286 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0436 | -0.0436 | -0.0436 | -0.0436 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations | 1113 |
| Worst day | $180 | $-4.79k | $-4.79k | $-82.1k |
| Spread capture | N/A | 0.0107 | 0.0055 | 0.0024 |
| Inventory turnover | 3.00 | 417.00 | 2432.00 | 43573.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.28 | 0.62 | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Avg ticket | $15 | $259 | $270 | $238 |
| Median ticket | $11 | $13 | $23 | $15 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -189.10 | -30.18 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Ethereum | $173k | 44% | 1026 |
| Crypto | $128k | 54% | 743 |
| Solana | $-74k | 33% | 94 |
| Hit Price | $-27.3k | 22% | 23 |
| XRP | $22.6k | 56% | 532 |
| Price Milestone | $16.7k | 67% | 6 |
| Bitcoin | $-16.4k | 55% | 662 |
| Hide From New | $11.5k | 50% | 2 |
| Sports | $6k | 100% | 2 |
| uncategorized | $-3.46k | 67% | 6 |
| Recurring | $298 | 50% | 6 |
| Multi Strikes | $278 | 67% | 3 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x92b010fa… | $-35.9k | $80.1k | -44.8% |
| 0xacb33346… | $35.5k | $19k | 187.2% |
| 0x717672a4… | $33.5k | $6.41k | 522.6% |
| 0x1deb6c66… | $-24.7k | $51.7k | -47.8% |
| 0x0ec7771c… | $-24.4k | $27.5k | -88.7% |
| 0x2092abde… | $22.6k | $66.2k | 34.1% |
| 0x26b5bd46… | $20.8k | $29.6k | 70.2% |
| 0x1f1cef8f… | $-18.9k | $76.3k | -24.8% |
| 0x614732ba… | $18.8k | $88.7k | 21.1% |
| 0x0d85d8c2… | $18.1k | $26.7k | 67.6% |
| 0x99d84f45… | $-17.6k | $35k | -50.3% |
| 0x0bc66f8f… | $16.9k | $15k | 112.1% |
| 0xf8557583… | $16.4k | $3.57k | 459.0% |
| 0xfee2ae80… | $16.2k | $20.8k | 78.0% |
| 0x18785897… | $16.2k | $13.6k | 119.7% |