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0x2529…548a · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0x2529…548a
0x2529c68db36ce8aa64c64affe620267744a3548a
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 18292 with median hold 0.3 hours, maker share only 62%.
Capital velocity 0.3 and held-to-resolution 63% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 09:46:23 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $20.3k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $7.79k | $25.4k | $38.5k | $141k |
| Win rate | 65% | 54% | 51% | 52% |
| ROI | 23% | 15% | 5% | 5% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.789 | 0.407 | 0.239 |
| Markets | 91 | 303 | 1177 | 1177 |
| Best day | $-377 | $8.71k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 4.81 | 2.35 | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| Mean trade PnL | $83 | $57 | $15 | $19 |
| Median trade PnL | $10 | $3 | $1 | $1 |
| Payoff ratio | 2.64 | 1.98 | 1.23 | 1.15 |
| Largest win | $1.18k | $1.3k | $2.56k | $5.2k |
| Largest loss | $-302 | $-1.14k | $-2.7k | $-5.22k |
| Expectancy | $83 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $3.66k | $2.71k | $2.31k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 6.916 | 0.558 | 0.268 |
| Calmar | 15.292 | 15.292 | 15.292 | 15.292 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 95.0 | 95.0 | 95.0 | 95.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 10% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 40% | 10% | 5% | 2% |
| Concentration top-10 | 62% | 18% | 9% | 4% |
| Max win streak | 6 | 10 | 17 | 18 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 18 | 28 | 28 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 1735 | 5644 | 18292 | 18292 |
| Unique markets | 91 | 303 | 1177 | 1177 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 100% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | 0.503 | 0.535 | 0.529 | 0.529 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.037 | 0.010 | 0.006 | 0.006 |
| Maker share (notional) | 63% | 58% | 62% | 62% |
| Two-sided share | 54% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Max concurrent | 70 | 246 | 846 | 846 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.33 | 1.14 | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| Add-to-winner share | 59% | 53% | 56% | 56% |
| Average-down share | 36% | 42% | 39% | 39% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.98 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 68% | 69% | 63% | 63% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2056 | 0.1756 | 0.1788 | 0.1727 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2153 | 0.1786 | 0.1796 | 0.1785 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.847 | 0.876 | 0.764 | 0.764 |
| Exit quality ($) | $27 | $-5 | $-7 | $-4 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 3.2% | 1.0% | -4.9% | -6.7% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0071 | 0.0071 | 0.0071 | 0.0071 |
| Alpha ($) | $47 | $47 | $47 | $47 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 15.7% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 15.7% |
| Contrarian score | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0002 | -0.0002 | -0.0002 | -0.0002 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Post-fill observations | 550 |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 53.1%
- News Sniper: 48.2%
- Tilted Gambler: 30.0%
- Contrarian Fader: 30.0%
- Conviction Holder: 26.1%
| Worst day | $-377 | $-377 | $-5.62k | $-7.71k |
| Spread capture | 0.0024 | -0.0158 | -0.0128 | -0.0128 |
| Inventory turnover | 1735.00 | 5644.00 | 18292.00 | 18292.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.06 | 1.67 | 1.04 | 0.25 |
| Median ticket | $13 | $14 | $12 | $12 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -1511.20 | -1511.20 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Esports | $142k | 52% | 6391 |
| Tennis | $-816 | 51% | 802 |
| Sports | $-383 | 43% | 69 |
| uncategorized | $-87 | 50% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x190aa5de… | $7.59k | $11.4k | 66.8% |
| 0x069c1c74… | $6.67k | $7.27k | 91.7% |
| 0x64198f84… | $5.69k | $4.92k | 115.7% |
| 0x2f84a57b… | $-5.56k | $7.69k | -72.3% |
| 0x3bae4fd9… | $5.22k | $4.56k | 114.6% |
| 0x9a5a3387… | $5.18k | $7.78k | 66.7% |
| 0x8a76fd74… | $5.15k | $5.97k | 86.2% |
| 0xe941fd8b… | $4.61k | $5.71k | 80.8% |
| 0xa78041bc… | $4.58k | $4.61k | 99.3% |
| 0x267dc669… | $-4.43k | $6.49k | -68.4% |
| 0x7f959d59… | $-4.4k | $6.91k | -63.7% |
| 0x1683b04c… | $-4.2k | $4.2k | -100.0% |
| 0x301def52… | $4.08k | $11.4k | 35.6% |
| 0xeb21732b… | $3.97k | $12.9k | 30.7% |
| 0x5b409bbf… | $-3.88k | $3.88k | -100.0% |