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0x24c8…23e1 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News
0x24c8…23e1
0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1
This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.
Maker share of notional is 82% and two-sided activity is 54%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.
Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 33962.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.
Little of its inventory is held to resolution (56%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.
Updated 2026-07-19 09:51:48 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | ∞ |
| Realized PnL | $1.52k | $-45.5k | $-760k | ∞ |
| Win rate | 75% | 56% | 46% | 50% |
| ROI | 2% | -1% | -7% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.239 | -0.152 | 0.060 |
| Markets | 8 | 36 | 106 | 354 |
| Best day | $-344 | $26.8k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 1.06 | 0.72 | 0.47 | 1.07 |
| Mean trade PnL | $379 | $-2.28k | $-7.92k | $268 |
| Median trade PnL | $2.11k | $14 | $-56 | $0 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.35 | 0.58 | 0.56 | 1.08 |
| Largest win | $20.8k | $54.8k | $243k | ∞ |
| Largest loss | $-23.5k | $-83.9k | $-166k | $-2.08M |
| Expectancy | $379 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $35.9k | $21.5k | $38.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.052 | -0.172 | -0.097 | 0.028 |
| Calmar | 1.892 | 1.892 | 1.892 | 1.892 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 66.4 | 66.4 | 66.4 | 66.4 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 48% | 33% | 11% | 7% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 90% | 42% | 16% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 99% | 68% | 24% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 4 | 4 | 45 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 4 | 9 | 52 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 91 | 1080 | 11940 | 33962 |
| Unique markets | 8 | 36 | 106 | 354 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | 0.074 | 0.188 | 0.156 | 0.264 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.232 | 0.124 | 0.065 | 0.060 |
| Maker share (notional) | 95% | 93% | 82% | 82% |
| Two-sided share | 38% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.2 | 20.1 | 63.2 | 144.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.2 | 16.7 | 46.0 | 92.6 |
| Max concurrent | 4 | 22 | 63 | 234 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.39 | 1.50 | 1.29 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 47% | 59% | 53% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 53% | 37% | 44% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.15 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 36% | 51% | 56% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0083 | 0.0139 | 0.0137 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.1077 | 0.0426 | 0.0743 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.777 | 0.923 | 0.938 | 0.809 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $13.4k | $-9.76k | $70 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | -48.4% | 62.7% | 3628.9% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0304 | -0.0304 | -0.0304 | -0.0304 |
| Alpha ($) | $-1.25k | $-1.25k | $-1.25k | $-1.25k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -98.9% | -98.9% | -98.9% | -98.9% |
| Contrarian score | -0.103 | -0.103 | -0.103 | -0.103 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0024 | -0.0024 | -0.0024 | -0.0024 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
| Worst day | $-344 | $-86.7k | $-86.7k | $-711k |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 100% | 93% | 63% | 3% |
| Spread capture | -0.0136 | 0.0008 | -0.0039 | 0.0072 |
| Inventory turnover | 91.00 | 1080.00 | 11940.00 | 33962.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.44 | 0.07 | 0.46 | 0.18 |
| Avg ticket | $312 | $380 | $421 | $970 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -633.60 | -0.01 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $-959k | 51% | 486 |
| Fed | $725k | 33% | 42 |
| Global Elections | $669k | 42% | 463 |
| nyc | $186k | 25% | 16 |
| Politics | $149k | 51% | 1009 |
| Fed Rates | $98.8k | 48% | 146 |
| fomc | $79.3k | 34% | 53 |
| Iran | $78k | 53% | 203 |
| primary elections | $69.3k | 63% | 8 |
| Parent For Derivative | $59.9k | 43% | 99 |
| World | $54.8k | 51% | 160 |
| Awards | $47.2k | 25% | 53 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x23dbb60a… | $944k | $32.5k | 2906.6% |
| 0xa4f51ae0… | $867k | $2.76M | 31.4% |
| 0xe93c89c4… | $734k | $1.08M | 68.0% |
| 0x9f41a3e4… | $469k | $2.21M | 21.2% |
| 0xebddfcf7… | $377k | $1.86M | 20.3% |
| 0x17815081… | $-325k | $639k | -51.0% |
| 0x7c6c69d9… | $-257k | $739k | -34.7% |
| 0x017f7984… | $243k | $122k | 200.0% |
| 0x53f82bd5… | $222k | $1.58M | 14.1% |
| 0x02dc46f4… | $-181k | $2.48M | -7.3% |
| 0x30d55d81… | $-166k | $395k | -41.9% |
| 0x163dc371… | $160k | $110k | 145.5% |
| 0x36e8ca24… | $157k | $170k | 92.3% |
| 0xef560432… | $155k | $207k | 75.1% |
| 0x0c4cd205… | $-154k | $360k | -42.7% |