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0x22e4248bdb066f65c9f11cd66cdd3719a28eef1c
Favorite GrinderGrade Darchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
56% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (64%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (1.37).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 09:30:27 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$422k
Open PnL
$-19.9k
Max drawdown
$49.2k
Underwater days
73
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $40.8k | $421k |
| Realized PnL | $942 | $1.07k | $70.5k | $517k |
| Win rate | 60% | 80% | 58% | 64% |
| ROI | 1% | 2% | 9% | 7% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 1.042 | 0.445 | 0.158 |
| Markets | 6 | 17 | 71 | 224 |
| Best day | $-152 | $1.84k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 4.02 | 4.44 | 2.62 | 2.44 |
| Mean trade PnL | $188 | $107 | $1.33k | $431 |
| Median trade PnL | $24 | $19 | $1 | $4 |
| Payoff ratio | 2.68 | 1.11 | 1.92 | 1.37 |
| Largest win | $1.2k | $1.2k | $48.4k | $83.3k |
| Largest loss | $-283 | $-283 | $-16.4k | $-32.6k |
| Expectancy | $188 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $796 | $5.94k | $6.15k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 4.963 | 0.931 | 0.184 |
| Calmar | 8.562 | 8.562 | 8.562 | 8.562 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 77% | 71% | 31% | 7% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 99% | 76% | 22% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 93% | 32% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 6 | 7 | 38 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 102 | 368 | 1859 | 9806 |
| Unique markets | 6 | 17 | 71 | 224 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 86% |
| Avg entry price | 0.880 | 0.826 | 0.753 | 0.733 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.866 | 0.599 | 0.078 | 0.061 |
| Maker share (notional) | 94% | 93% | 72% | 77% |
| Two-sided share | 17% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.1 | 36.2 | 121.5 | 135.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 3.6 | 94.8 | 51.9 |
| Max concurrent | 3 | 5 | 47 | 135 |
| Disposition ratio | 2.86 | 1.94 | 0.18 | 0.78 |
| Add-to-winner share | 60% | 67% | 87% | 77% |
| Average-down share | 40% | 33% | 9% | 19% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.16 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 57% | 59% | 58% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0011 | 0.0062 | 0.0392 | 0.0483 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0721 | 0.1344 | 0.0946 | 0.1354 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.030 | 0.776 | 0.738 | 0.658 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-216 | $-287 | $-183 | $11 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 31.3% | 12.0% | 33.2% | 39.7% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0510 | -0.0510 | -0.0510 | -0.0510 |
| Alpha ($) | $85 | $85 | $85 | $85 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -8.4% | -8.4% | -8.4% | -8.4% |
| Contrarian score | 0.105 | 0.105 | 0.105 | 0.105 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0064 | -0.0064 | -0.0064 | -0.0064 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 50.2%
- Scalper: 37.6%
- Conviction Holder: 35.8%
- Tilted Gambler: 33.8%
- News Sniper: 26.2%