0x1f66…4c8d

0x1f66796b45581868376365aef54b51eb84184c8d

ScalperGrade DStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 14524 with median hold 1.5 hours, maker share only 39%.

Capital velocity 1.2 and held-to-resolution 68% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 09:17:23 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$52.6k

Open PnL

$-16.7k

Max drawdown

$8.97k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	$1.38k	N/A	N/A	N/A
Realized PnL	$1.01k	$13.3k	$36.2k	$213k
Win rate	60%	77%	78%	61%
ROI	37%	76%	36%	44%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.313	0.053	0.155
Markets	22	131	409	1543
Best day	$1.13k	$5.12k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	25.45	12.04	5.98	4.55
Mean trade PnL	$202	$309	$159	$127
Median trade PnL	$3	$54	$34	$5
Payoff ratio	16.96	3.65	1.69	2.95
Largest win	$630	$3.99k	$3.99k	$7.64k
Largest loss	$-22	$-693	$-1.12k	$-2.23k
Expectancy	$202

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$2.08k	$1.76k	$1.77k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	0.986	0.052	0.230
Calmar	5.865	5.865	5.865	5.865
Drawdown duration (days)	42.3	42.3	42.3	42.3

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	58%	25%	8%	2%
Concentration top-5	100%	60%	25%	9%
Concentration top-10	100%	78%	40%	15%
Max win streak	2	13	24	24
Max loss streak	1	3	3	15

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	156	1375	3638	14524
Unique markets	22	131	409	1543
Active days ratio	200%	114%	103%	86%
Avg entry price	0.361	0.315	0.396	0.309
Portfolio HHI	0.153	0.039	0.011	0.004
Maker share (notional)	20%	42%	35%	39%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	2.4	6.4	8.9	5.8
Holding time median (h)	1.4	4.1	5.4	1.5
Max concurrent	16	89	283	1070
Disposition ratio	0.14	1.95	2.84	0.47
Add-to-winner share	100%	77%	81%	69%
Average-down share	0%	23%	18%	31%
Tilt ratio	4.86

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	0%	65%	67%	68%
Brier (weighted)	0.1545	0.1706	0.1216	0.2146
Brier (unweighted)	0.5089	0.2177	0.1945	0.1758
Entry timing mean	0.794	0.829	0.839	0.845
Exit quality ($)	$86	$-15	$10	$118
Exit quality ROI gap	50.8%	10.3%	15.3%	88.5%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.0035	-0.0035	-0.0035	-0.0035
Alpha ($)	$-107	$-107	$-107	$-107
Alpha ROI gap	4.1%	4.1%	4.1%	4.1%
Contrarian score	0.098	0.098	0.098	0.098
Post-fill drift	0.0076	0.0076	0.0076	0.0076
Post-fill candles (mean)	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 64.6%
News Sniper: 55.0%
Tilted Gambler: 38.4%
Conviction Holder: 31.2%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 26.7%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 1.24e-235; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0xe8bf5d9bb0… entry 0.054 timing 0.85
0x3130a58d86… entry 0.203 timing 0.93
0x2249d9b6d0… entry 0.300 timing 0.88
0x6a1d103cde… entry 0.200
0xe1471bff43… entry 0.245 timing 0.85
0xe5301c4871… entry 0.115 timing 0.90
0xc162888d90… entry 0.080 timing 0.89
0xb83c480f6b… entry 0.079
0x38df07d8d7… entry 0.129 timing 0.83
0xed3a88e88a… entry 0.262
0x220790e29c… entry 0.184
0x2ea1c74521… entry 0.091
0xe565a85dfe… entry 0.091 timing 0.86
0x740d1981a2… entry 0.091 timing 0.92
0x15b02c30f7… entry 0.129 timing 0.89
0xdf2b2eae42… entry 0.091 timing 0.88
0xf9a65ece91… entry 0.170
0x77ceb4aab3… entry 0.130
0xd2800198b1… entry 0.281 timing 0.69

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0x1f66…4c8d

0x1f66796b45581868376365aef54b51eb84184c8d

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 14524 with median hold 1.5 hours, maker share only 39%.

Capital velocity 1.2 and held-to-resolution 68% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

$1.38k

N/A

Realized PnL

$1.01k

$13.3k

$36.2k

$213k

Win rate

60%

77%

78%

61%

ROI

37%

76%

36%

44%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.313

0.053

0.155

Markets

131

409

1543

Best day

$1.13k

$5.12k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

25.45

12.04

5.98

4.55

Mean trade PnL

$202

$309

$159

$127

Median trade PnL

$54

$34

Payoff ratio

16.96

3.65

1.69

2.95

Largest win

$630

$3.99k

$7.64k

Largest loss

$-22

$-693

$-1.12k

$-2.23k

Expectancy

$202

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$2.08k

$1.76k

$1.77k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

0.986

0.052

0.230

Calmar

5.865

Drawdown duration (days)

42.3

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

58%

25%

Concentration top-5

100%

60%

25%

Concentration top-10

100%

78%

40%

15%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

156

1375

3638

14524

Unique markets

131

409

1543

Active days ratio

200%

114%

103%

86%

Avg entry price

0.361

0.315

0.396

0.309

Portfolio HHI

0.153

0.039

0.011

0.004

Maker share (notional)

20%

42%

35%

39%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

2.4

6.4

8.9

5.8

Holding time median (h)

1.4

4.1

5.4

1.5

Max concurrent

283

1070

Disposition ratio

0.14

1.95

2.84

0.47

Add-to-winner share

100%

77%

81%

69%

Average-down share

23%

18%

31%

Tilt ratio

4.86

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

65%

67%

68%

Brier (weighted)

0.1545

0.1706

0.1216

0.2146

Brier (unweighted)

0.5089

0.2177

0.1945

0.1758

Entry timing mean

0.794

0.829

0.839

0.845

Exit quality ($)

$86

$-15

$10

$118

Exit quality ROI gap

50.8%

10.3%

15.3%

88.5%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.0035

Alpha ($)

$-107

Alpha ROI gap

4.1%

Contrarian score

0.098

Post-fill drift

0.0076

Post-fill candles (mean)

4.3

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 64.6%

News Sniper: 55.0%

Tilted Gambler: 38.4%

Conviction Holder: 31.2%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 26.7%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 1.24e-235; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0xe8bf5d9bb0… entry 0.054 timing 0.85
0x3130a58d86… entry 0.203 timing 0.93
0x2249d9b6d0… entry 0.300 timing 0.88
0x6a1d103cde… entry 0.200
0xe1471bff43… entry 0.245 timing 0.85
0xe5301c4871… entry 0.115 timing 0.90
0xc162888d90… entry 0.080 timing 0.89
0xb83c480f6b… entry 0.079
0x38df07d8d7… entry 0.129 timing 0.83
0xed3a88e88a… entry 0.262
0x220790e29c… entry 0.184
0x2ea1c74521… entry 0.091
0xe565a85dfe… entry 0.091 timing 0.86
0x740d1981a2… entry 0.091 timing 0.92
0x15b02c30f7… entry 0.129 timing 0.89
0xdf2b2eae42… entry 0.091 timing 0.88
0xf9a65ece91… entry 0.170
0x77ceb4aab3… entry 0.130
0xd2800198b1… entry 0.281 timing 0.69

Weather	$212k	62%	1446
Politics	$-2.72k	33%	18
Parent For Derivative	$1.75k	40%	10
Culture	$1.19k	100%	2
Movies	$717	78%	9
Trump	$-698	17%	6
Canada	$-655	0%	3
maine	$623	67%	3
Economic Policy	$548	100%	1
Iran	$-446	25%	4
TSA	$438	100%	1
NFL Playoffs	$377	50%	6

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xb4982f79…	$8.14k	$5.36k	151.8%
0xcd29c9db…	$7.19k	$778	925.1%
0x2d7ffef1…	$5.49k	$583	941.8%
0xdaf40bac…	$4.68k	$2.63k	178.1%
0xb639e403…	$4.26k	$234	1823.6%
0x5631ff7c…	$3.99k	$268	1487.7%
0x6e66d2a8…	$3.92k	$498	788.0%
0x6eb13e20…	$3.91k	$1.77k	221.6%
0xb958fa1e…	$3.87k	$1.32k	292.7%
0x61e3976c…	$3.48k	$267	1302.1%
0x1f486875…	$3.29k	$669	492.5%
0xc4fb37da…	$3.24k	$2.11k	153.5%
0xaab99ac6…	$3.2k	$1.34k	238.9%
0x8a05cc26…	$3.08k	$1.06k	289.5%
0xca1419ca…	$2.88k	$692	416.8%

0x1f66…4c8d

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x1f66…4c8d

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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