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0x1cd2…c304
0x1cd2da1d25c07776dcc6bfee2c5589da2d98c304
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 1291 with median hold 8.5 hours, maker share only 37%.
Capital velocity 2.1 and held-to-resolution 57% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 08:43:25 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$7.42k
Open PnL
$1.48k
Max drawdown
$52
Underwater days
2
Equity curve
Board ranks
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.51k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $291 | $633 | $5.13k | $5.96k |
| Win rate | 100% | 44% | 57% | 59% |
| ROI | 70% | 20% | 63% | 66% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.610 | 0.627 | 0.644 |
| Markets | 14 | 73 | 222 | 240 |
| Best day | $1.55k | $1.55k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 1.92 | 4.73 | 5.32 |
| Mean trade PnL | $58 | $7 | $24 | $26 |
| Median trade PnL | $32 | $-0 | $1 | $2 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 2.48 | 3.54 | 3.74 |
| Largest win | $213 | $246 | $589 | $589 |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-140 | $-140 | $-140 |
| Expectancy | $58 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $555 | $343 | $339 |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 5.999 | 6.055 |
| Calmar | 139.146 | 139.146 | 139.146 | 139.146 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 73% | 12% | 7% | 7% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 44% | 30% | 27% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 66% | 44% | 43% |
| Max win streak | 5 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 10 | 15 | 15 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 49 | 270 | 1123 | 1291 |
| Unique markets | 14 | 73 | 222 | 240 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 117% | 100% | 97% |
| Avg entry price | 0.295 | 0.218 | 0.188 | 0.197 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.233 | 0.047 | 0.016 | 0.014 |
| Maker share (notional) | 36% | 31% | 37% | 37% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 4.9 | 8.1 | 8.0 | 7.7 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.6 | 7.4 | 9.0 | 8.5 |
| Max concurrent | 11 | 42 | 135 | 145 |
| Disposition ratio | 6.42 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 0.55 |
| Add-to-winner share | 93% | 84% | 64% | 67% |
| Average-down share | 7% | 16% | 36% | 33% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 50% | 49% | 57% | 57% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.6300 | 0.1696 | 0.2421 | 0.2423 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.5099 | 0.0873 | 0.1480 | 0.1484 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.839 | 0.744 | 0.799 | 0.798 |
| Exit quality ($) | $58 | $14 | $17 | $22 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 33.0% | 60.6% | 81.5% | 84.9% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0158 | 0.0158 | 0.0158 | 0.0158 |
| Alpha ($) | $-176 | $-176 | $-176 | $-176 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -512.7% | -512.7% | -512.7% | -512.7% |
| Contrarian score | 0.178 | 0.178 | 0.178 | 0.178 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0347 | 0.0347 | 0.0347 | 0.0347 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 56.5%
- News Sniper: 47.3%
- Tilted Gambler: 30.2%
- Conviction Holder: 26.5%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 20.8%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 3.07e-13; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
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