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0x1c70ac3d24049820abc5e31af2cac9710124b25e
Favorite GrinderGrade Darchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
72% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (85%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.21).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 09:57:05 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$-4.2k
Open PnL
$-26.3k
Max drawdown
$14.9k
Underwater days
167
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.61k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $2.46k | $6.11k | $15.7k | $21.8k |
| Win rate | 90% | 91% | 92% | 85% |
| ROI | 13% | 12% | 9% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.372 | 0.316 | -0.025 |
| Markets | 33 | 84 | 343 | 4926 |
| Best day | $1.95k | $1.95k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 34.24 | 12.85 | 5.39 | 1.15 |
| Mean trade PnL | $79 | $77 | $48 | $3 |
| Median trade PnL | $30 | $25 | $22 | $6 |
| Payoff ratio | 3.67 | 1.25 | 0.49 | 0.21 |
| Largest win | $709 | $883 | $883 | $1.21k |
| Largest loss | $-51 | $-286 | $-1.04k | $-4.58k |
| Expectancy | $79 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $1.13k | $818 | $889 |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.208 | -0.018 |
| Calmar | -0.280 | -0.280 | -0.280 | -0.280 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 166.3 | 166.3 | 166.3 | 166.3 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 27% | 12% | 5% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | 66% | 40% | 17% | 5% |
| Concentration top-10 | 85% | 62% | 27% | 7% |
| Max win streak | 15 | 28 | 39 | 257 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 202 | 519 | 1458 | 17353 |
| Unique markets | 33 | 84 | 343 | 4926 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 100% | 97% |
| Avg entry price | 0.778 | 0.717 | 0.785 | 0.818 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.086 | 0.033 | 0.008 | 0.001 |
| Maker share (notional) | 16% | 11% | 5% | 3% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Max concurrent | 24 | 45 | 155 | 4103 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.67 | 0.86 | 0.80 | 0.03 |
| Add-to-winner share | 65% | 49% | 42% | 58% |
| Average-down share | 32% | 50% | 55% | 27% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.13 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 62% | 49% | 44% | 82% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0486 | 0.0549 | 0.0560 | 0.0596 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0772 | 0.0844 | 0.0834 | 0.1009 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.758 | 0.496 | 0.457 | 0.835 |
| Exit quality ($) | $15 | $-6 | $-6 | $-0 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 8.2% | 7.4% | -0.3% | 1.1% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.3204 | -0.3204 | -0.3204 | -0.3204 |
| Alpha ($) | $-398 | $-398 | $-398 | $-398 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -86.7% | -86.7% | -86.7% | -86.7% |
| Contrarian score | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0795 | -0.0795 | -0.0795 | -0.0795 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 90.3%
- Scalper: 73.0%
- News Sniper: 54.8%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 33.5%
- Conviction Holder: 33.5%