0x1b47…d814

0x1b47e9b128e6b671edebfb2cac23dd3efc40d814

ScalperGrade CStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

Secondary: News Sniper

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 57002 with median hold 1.6 hours, maker share only 37%.

Capital velocity 1.0 and held-to-resolution 84% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 09:03:59 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$161k

Open PnL

$-3.44k

Max drawdown

$1.53M

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	$30.9k	N/A	N/A
Realized PnL	$-12.4k	$32.8k	$-982k	$163k
Win rate	44%	46%	47%	48%
ROI	-6%	3%	-8%	1%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.022	-0.094	0.009
Markets	21	77	646	2195
Best day	$-2.22k	$372k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	0.84	1.07	0.86	1.02
Mean trade PnL	$-498	$345	$-1.2k	$63
Median trade PnL	$-2	$-5	$-5	$-5
Payoff ratio	1.06	1.24	0.95	1.11
Largest win	$37.9k	$317k	$565k	$565k
Largest loss	$-54.8k	$-356k	$-356k	$-356k
Expectancy	$-498

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$204k	$266k	$162k
Sortino (daily)	0.009	0.027	-0.102	0.009
Calmar	0.107	0.107	0.107	0.107
Drawdown duration (days)	33.3	33.3	33.3	33.3

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	39%	36%	4%	3%
Concentration top-5	95%	83%	17%	11%
Concentration top-10	99%	93%	29%	19%
Max win streak	2	4	7	9
Max loss streak	4	6	8	13

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	262	3239	34022	57002
Unique markets	21	77	646	2195
Active days ratio	200%	114%	103%	101%
Avg entry price	0.511	0.495	0.403	0.398
Portfolio HHI	0.295	0.174	0.012	0.006
Maker share (notional)	33%	46%	35%	37%
Two-sided share	33%

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	2.0	5.3	5.1	6.0
Holding time median (h)	1.4	1.0	1.2	1.6
Max concurrent	20	70	584	1891
Disposition ratio	0.67	0.35	0.50	0.62
Add-to-winner share	53%	52%	45%	42%
Average-down share	31%	36%	41%	41%
Tilt ratio	0.31

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	90%	86%	88%	84%
Brier (weighted)	0.1582	0.2510	0.2035	0.2058
Brier (unweighted)	0.2085	0.2183	0.1740	0.1818
Entry timing mean	0.893	0.836	0.923	0.915
Exit quality ($)	$75	$81	$10	$13
Exit quality ROI gap	6.2%	3.2%	17.8%	149.3%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.1362	0.1362	0.1362	0.1362
Alpha ($)	$-165	$-165	$-165	$-165
Alpha ROI gap	-9.6%	-9.6%	-9.6%	-9.6%
Contrarian score	0.557	0.557	0.557	0.557
Post-fill drift	0.0999	0.0999	0.0999	0.0999
Post-fill candles (mean)	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 64.0%
News Sniper: 56.5%
Tilted Gambler: 55.0%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 34.7%
Conviction Holder: 30.3%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 3.24e-26; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0xc39f98cbc5… entry 0.210 timing 0.99
0x00bcf27e76… entry 0.220
0x6c3c20ffe8… entry 0.290 timing 0.99
0x5b9c1b1af6… entry 0.260 timing 0.87
0xa213d35aa4… entry 0.240 timing 0.95
0x52e887cd4d… entry 0.290 timing 0.97
0x1a7da260ba… entry 0.230 timing 0.99
0x39b6ec27a8… entry 0.260 timing 0.99
0x7c771ad45b… entry 0.280 timing 0.48
0xeef8f7d543… entry 0.270 timing 0.85
0x44d3740ef1… entry 0.260 timing 0.20
0x2f3363e5f3… entry 0.070 timing 0.21
0xd064e94330… entry 0.220 timing 0.49
0x0267cf9b3b… entry 0.240 timing 0.96
0xa017fa4440… entry 0.130 timing 0.96
0xfac5556897… entry 0.250 timing 1.00
0x2e68a2c2c5… entry 0.283 timing 0.97
0xcbcf151a0c… entry 0.290 timing 0.73
0xe865161e97… entry 0.250

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0x1b47…d814

0x1b47e9b128e6b671edebfb2cac23dd3efc40d814

Secondary: News Sniper

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 57002 with median hold 1.6 hours, maker share only 37%.

Capital velocity 1.0 and held-to-resolution 84% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$30.9k

N/A

Realized PnL

$-12.4k

$32.8k

$-982k

$163k

Win rate

44%

46%

47%

48%

ROI

-6%

-8%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.022

-0.094

0.009

Markets

646

2195

Best day

$-2.22k

$372k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

0.84

1.07

0.86

1.02

Mean trade PnL

$-498

$345

$-1.2k

$63

Median trade PnL

$-2

$-5

Payoff ratio

1.06

1.24

0.95

1.11

Largest win

$37.9k

$317k

$565k

Largest loss

$-54.8k

$-356k

Expectancy

$-498

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$204k

$266k

$162k

Sortino (daily)

0.009

0.027

-0.102

0.009

Calmar

0.107

Drawdown duration (days)

33.3

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

39%

36%

Concentration top-5

95%

83%

17%

11%

Concentration top-10

99%

93%

29%

19%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

262

3239

34022

57002

Unique markets

646

2195

Active days ratio

200%

114%

103%

101%

Avg entry price

0.511

0.495

0.403

0.398

Portfolio HHI

0.295

0.174

0.012

0.006

Maker share (notional)

33%

46%

35%

37%

Two-sided share

33%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

2.0

5.3

5.1

6.0

Holding time median (h)

1.4

1.0

1.2

1.6

Max concurrent

584

1891

Disposition ratio

0.67

0.35

0.50

0.62

Add-to-winner share

53%

52%

45%

42%

Average-down share

31%

36%

41%

Tilt ratio

0.31

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

90%

86%

88%

84%

Brier (weighted)

0.1582

0.2510

0.2035

0.2058

Brier (unweighted)

0.2085

0.2183

0.1740

0.1818

Entry timing mean

0.893

0.836

0.923

0.915

Exit quality ($)

$75

$81

$10

$13

Exit quality ROI gap

6.2%

3.2%

17.8%

149.3%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.1362

Alpha ($)

$-165

Alpha ROI gap

-9.6%

Contrarian score

0.557

Post-fill drift

0.0999

Post-fill candles (mean)

4.7

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 64.0%

News Sniper: 56.5%

Tilted Gambler: 55.0%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 34.7%

Conviction Holder: 30.3%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 3.24e-26; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0xc39f98cbc5… entry 0.210 timing 0.99
0x00bcf27e76… entry 0.220
0x6c3c20ffe8… entry 0.290 timing 0.99
0x5b9c1b1af6… entry 0.260 timing 0.87
0xa213d35aa4… entry 0.240 timing 0.95
0x52e887cd4d… entry 0.290 timing 0.97
0x1a7da260ba… entry 0.230 timing 0.99
0x39b6ec27a8… entry 0.260 timing 0.99
0x7c771ad45b… entry 0.280 timing 0.48
0xeef8f7d543… entry 0.270 timing 0.85
0x44d3740ef1… entry 0.260 timing 0.20
0x2f3363e5f3… entry 0.070 timing 0.21
0xd064e94330… entry 0.220 timing 0.49
0x0267cf9b3b… entry 0.240 timing 0.96
0xa017fa4440… entry 0.130 timing 0.96
0xfac5556897… entry 0.250 timing 1.00
0x2e68a2c2c5… entry 0.283 timing 0.97
0xcbcf151a0c… entry 0.290 timing 0.73
0xe865161e97… entry 0.250

Soccer	$102k	33%	3
Sports	$51.5k	50%	2097
Esports	$11.6k	42%	252
Tennis	$-1.97k	37%	226
uncategorized	$203	50%	2
2026 FIFA World Cup	$59	100%	2

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xe6906202…	$566k	$316k	179.0%
0xa5501b4d…	$399k	$75.9k	525.5%
0xdac6e67b…	$394k	$147k	268.2%
0xb81d9a63…	$392k	$145k	271.2%
0xebb200cb…	$375k	$218k	172.3%
0xf5bc8db2…	$-356k	$356k	-100.0%
0xff1ec56e…	$340k	$135k	251.6%
0x597e0e20…	$318k	$295k	107.9%
0xe6ef89a8…	$317k	$192k	164.5%
0xae9433e4…	$303k	$118k	255.8%
0x5bdcf0fd…	$-286k	$287k	-99.8%
0x3ceb5b63…	$281k	$155k	181.6%
0x2cc35964…	$-281k	$292k	-96.3%
0x7157ad92…	$267k	$235k	113.5%
0x232342e2…	$-255k	$261k	-98.0%

0x1b47…d814

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x1b47…d814

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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