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0x19254b55e7c48e88baab9e62cc218223a6544654
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 6.37 and disposition ratio 0.84, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 725.5), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 08:40:59 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $823k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $-23.6k | $909k |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | 50% | 50% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | -11% | 11% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | -0.314 | 0.076 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 2 | 199 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 0.19 | 1.26 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $-11.8k | $4.35k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $-11.8k | $-0 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.19 | 1.29 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | $5.46k | $532k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-29.1k | $-245k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $2.88k | $98k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.107 | 0.107 | -0.198 | 0.107 |
| Calmar | 0.854 | 0.854 | 0.854 | 0.854 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 22.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | 84% | 7% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 21% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 33% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | 1 | 13 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 1 | 29 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 290 | 18341 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 2 | 199 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | 36% | 70% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | 0.741 | 0.430 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | 0.515 | 0.014 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | 97% | 48% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | 108.9 | 61.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | 106.4 | 2.9 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | 2 | 121 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.84 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 0% | 70% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 99% | 23% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | 100% | 56% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0259 | 0.2292 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0259 | 0.1914 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | 0.974 | 0.842 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | $-50k | $-1.41k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | -45.9% | 2.1% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1364 | 0.1364 | 0.1364 | 0.1364 |
| Alpha ($) | $-373 | $-373 | $-373 | $-373 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| Contrarian score | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0977 | 0.0977 | 0.0977 | 0.0977 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 1.48e-5; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $2.14k |
| $530k |
| Worst day | $0 | $0 | $-11.9k | $-260k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| N/A |
| $-11.8k |
| $4.35k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 20% |
| 1% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 25% | 17% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 60% | 63% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | 50% | 67% | 16% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 82% | 3% |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 11% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | 0.0000 | 0.0160 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | 290.00 | 18341.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | 0.89 | 1.21 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | N/A | $668 | $544 |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | $6 | $6 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 222.00 | -189.95 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | N/A | 0 | 1 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 6.37 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Tennis | $538k | 63% | 24 |
| Sports | $455k | 51% | 149 |
| 2026 NHL Playoffs | $-51.4k | 56% | 16 |
| Finance | $-28.1k | 25% | 8 |
| Iran Regime | $-2.53k | 0% | 2 |
| Israel | $-1.93k | 0% | 1 |
| Iran | $-458 | 0% | 1 |
| Eurovision | $-444 | 17% | 6 |
| Hockey | $-2 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x47a88a03… | $532k | $49.7k | 1069.5% |
| 0xc0be070b… | $345k | $248k | 139.2% |
| 0x6869dd21… | $297k | $168k | 176.4% |
| 0xed1e2758… | $-245k | $245k | -100.0% |
| 0xdbd81fff… | $222k | $174k | 128.1% |
| 0x9188ea71… | $-202k | $202k | -100.0% |
| 0x7fbf5ce2… | $196k | $204k | 96.1% |
| 0xd30b8499… | $186k | $204k | 91.3% |
| 0x79354560… | $-182k | $182k | -100.0% |
| 0x4435d57c… | $178k | $176k | 101.0% |
| 0x036869ee… | $-168k | $168k | -100.0% |
| 0xc505d63c… | $-158k | $158k | -100.0% |
| 0xfef657b2… | $152k | $248k | 61.3% |
| 0x68b0ae45… | $-149k | $149k | -100.0% |
| 0x464d1f08… | $-141k | $190k | -74.6% |
| 3475 |
| 3475 |
| 3475 |
| 3475 |