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0x1867…92ca
0x18670d5a83b7b38d509398067c095d4c321992ca
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 12 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.84 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 5.5 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 09:07:57 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$413k
Open PnL
$-32.5k
Max drawdown
$34.8k
Underwater days
87
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $413k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $6.72k | $445k |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | 100% | 54% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | 205% | 8% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | -0.183 | 0.141 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2717 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.20 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $6.72k | $156 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $6.72k | $30 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.03 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | $6.72k | $13.5k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-14.6k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $71 | $5.09k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | -0.033 | 0.176 |
| Calmar | 11.864 | 11.864 | 11.864 | 11.864 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 28.0 | 28.0 | 28.0 | 28.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 0% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 2% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 3% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | 1 | 40 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 122 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24552 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2717 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | 100% | 66% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.522 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | 1.000 | 0.001 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | 100% | 82% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 77.2 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5.5 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 573 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.04 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 44% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 20% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | 0% | 22% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.4516 | 0.2400 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.4516 | 0.2379 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.841 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | $0 | $119 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 3.0% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1102 | 0.1102 | 0.1102 | 0.1102 |
| Alpha ($) | $-21 | $-21 | $-21 | $-21 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -15.8% | -15.8% | -15.8% | -15.8% |
| Contrarian score | 0.071 | 0.071 | 0.071 | 0.071 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0518 | 0.0518 | 0.0518 | 0.0518 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- News Sniper: 65.1%
- Scalper: 57.8%
- Tilted Gambler: 50.8%
- Contrarian Fader: 15.7%
- Longshot Hunter: 15.2%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 4.80e-6; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0x76d793c2ad… entry 0.290 timing 0.97
- 0x31b666b98f… entry 0.280 timing 0.96
- 0xb2857e4c64… entry 0.170 timing 0.98
- 0xf8b914c55a… entry 0.080
- 0x0e6f8d90b5… entry 0.290 timing 1.00
- 0xd5a23604dc… entry 0.240 timing 0.41