0x16cb…2704

0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704

Market MakerStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.

Maker share of notional is 87% and two-sided activity is 49%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.

Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 64612.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.

Little of its inventory is held to resolution (21%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.

Updated 2026-07-19 09:02:49 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$482k

Open PnL

$-35.2k

Max drawdown

$306k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	N/A	N/A	$482k
Realized PnL	$0	$15.7k	$-22k	$35.3k
Win rate	N/A	43%	56%	64%
ROI	N/A	12%	-3%	0%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.210	0.233	0.042
Markets	8	22	72	1973
Best day	$52	$3.05k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	1.49	0.88	1.02
Mean trade PnL	N/A	$681	$-242	$6
Median trade PnL	N/A	$-167	$10	$22
Payoff ratio	N/A	1.94	0.69	0.57
Largest win	N/A	$21k	$37.7k	$48.1k
Largest loss	N/A	$-7.42k	$-37.5k	$-46.7k
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$2.05k	$1.21k	$19k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	0.210	0.274	0.072
Calmar	1.558	1.558	1.558	1.558
Drawdown duration (days)	10.0	10.0	10.0	10.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	26%	21%	2%
Concentration top-5	N/A	74%	49%	9%
Concentration top-10	N/A	93%	66%	15%
Max win streak	N/A	2	8	82
Max loss streak	N/A	3	5	19

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	47	287	1516	64612
Unique markets	8	22	72	1973
Active days ratio	200%	114%	103%	100%
Avg entry price	0.817	0.841	0.290	0.387
Portfolio HHI	0.200	0.072	0.032	0.005
Maker share (notional)	62%	92%	93%	87%
Two-sided share	38%

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	0.9	3.5	25.1	440.0
Holding time median (h)	0.9	2.3	3.3	73.5
Max concurrent	4	4	17	600
Disposition ratio	N/A	0.10	1.94	2.25
Add-to-winner share	100%	100%	100%	41%
Average-down share	0%	0%	0%	40%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	0%	17%	21%
Brier (weighted)	N/A	0.0471	0.0177	0.1081
Brier (unweighted)	N/A	0.0610	0.0577	0.1560
Entry timing mean	0.779	0.721	0.450	0.379
Exit quality ($)	N/A	$-759	$-690	$-110
Exit quality ROI gap	N/A	30.4%	229.7%	390.6%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.2993	-0.2993	-0.2993	-0.2993
Alpha ($)	$0	$0	$0	$0
Alpha ROI gap	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Contrarian score	0.126	0.126	0.126	0.126
Post-fill drift	-0.0081	-0.0081	-0.0081	-0.0081
Post-fill candles (mean)	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0
Post-fill observations	1797

Archetype scores

Market Maker: 100.0%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0xe5bd80313b… entry 0.017 timing 0.41
0x65307f30dc… entry 0.017 timing 0.43
0x0cf91d3955… entry 0.031
0xb8d1c3c2cb… entry 0.017 timing 0.84
0x31967ab350… entry 0.017 timing 0.80
0x0efaf81024… entry 0.017 timing 0.77
0x9966487ab0… entry 0.008
0xb0041709df… entry 0.020 timing 0.48
0xda3350bc16… entry 0.020 timing 0.40
0x2b16e581e1… entry 0.036
0xe64a95a022… entry 0.010 timing 0.74
0x04b1198c2a… entry 0.010
0xcf693d248e… entry 0.255
0xcdde25ded9… entry 0.006
0x3b03119533… entry 0.006
0x252070a6eb… entry 0.006 timing 0.98
0x8fa0fa99fd… entry 0.006
0x1281b8da70… entry 0.007
0x213cf96059… entry 0.007
0xb027884e96… entry 0.006
0x255d435e15… entry 0.260 timing 0.20
0x5974071cfb… entry 0.020 timing 0.56

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0x16cb…2704

0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704

This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.

Maker share of notional is 87% and two-sided activity is 49%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.

Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 64612.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.

Little of its inventory is held to resolution (21%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$482k

Realized PnL

$15.7k

$-22k

$35.3k

Win rate

N/A

43%

56%

64%

ROI

N/A

12%

-3%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.210

0.233

0.042

Markets

1973

Best day

$52

$3.05k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

1.49

0.88

1.02

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$681

$-242

Median trade PnL

N/A

$-167

$10

$22

Payoff ratio

N/A

1.94

0.69

0.57

Largest win

N/A

$21k

$37.7k

$48.1k

Largest loss

N/A

$-7.42k

$-37.5k

$-46.7k

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$2.05k

$1.21k

$19k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

0.210

0.274

0.072

Calmar

1.558

Drawdown duration (days)

10.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

26%

21%

Concentration top-5

N/A

74%

49%

Concentration top-10

N/A

93%

66%

15%

Max win streak

N/A

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

287

1516

64612

Unique markets

1973

Active days ratio

200%

114%

103%

100%

Avg entry price

0.817

0.841

0.290

0.387

Portfolio HHI

0.200

0.072

0.032

0.005

Maker share (notional)

62%

92%

93%

87%

Two-sided share

38%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

0.9

3.5

25.1

440.0

Holding time median (h)

0.9

2.3

3.3

73.5

Max concurrent

600

Disposition ratio

N/A

0.10

1.94

2.25

Add-to-winner share

100%

41%

Average-down share

40%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

17%

21%

Brier (weighted)

N/A

0.0471

0.0177

0.1081

Brier (unweighted)

N/A

0.0610

0.0577

0.1560

Entry timing mean

0.779

0.721

0.450

0.379

Exit quality ($)

N/A

$-759

$-690

$-110

Exit quality ROI gap

N/A

30.4%

229.7%

390.6%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.2993

Alpha ($)

Alpha ROI gap

0.0%

Contrarian score

0.126

Post-fill drift

-0.0081

Post-fill candles (mean)

6.0

Post-fill observations

1797

Archetype scores

Market Maker: 100.0%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0xe5bd80313b… entry 0.017 timing 0.41
0x65307f30dc… entry 0.017 timing 0.43
0x0cf91d3955… entry 0.031
0xb8d1c3c2cb… entry 0.017 timing 0.84
0x31967ab350… entry 0.017 timing 0.80
0x0efaf81024… entry 0.017 timing 0.77
0x9966487ab0… entry 0.008
0xb0041709df… entry 0.020 timing 0.48
0xda3350bc16… entry 0.020 timing 0.40
0x2b16e581e1… entry 0.036
0xe64a95a022… entry 0.010 timing 0.74
0x04b1198c2a… entry 0.010
0xcf693d248e… entry 0.255
0xcdde25ded9… entry 0.006
0x3b03119533… entry 0.006
0x252070a6eb… entry 0.006 timing 0.98
0x8fa0fa99fd… entry 0.006
0x1281b8da70… entry 0.007
0x213cf96059… entry 0.007
0xb027884e96… entry 0.006
0x255d435e15… entry 0.260 timing 0.20
0x5974071cfb… entry 0.020 timing 0.56

Sports	$521k	67%	3811
President	$-347k	33%	42
Eurovision	$-137k	53%	78
Formula 1	$-27.2k	73%	361
Boxing	$10.2k	63%	27
International Cricket	$-8.04k	23%	13
Soccer	$7.86k	47%	192
Music	$5.55k	57%	167
f1	$4.95k	100%	9
2024 presidential election	$3.73k	100%	2
invitational	$-3.67k	59%	29
PGA	$3.39k	68%	19

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xefe6300f…	$-45k	$110k	-41.0%
0xe0173375…	$-36.7k	$91.2k	-40.2%
0xfd6176f8…	$-36.1k	$103k	-35.1%
0x7ad403c3…	$34.7k	$730	4753.5%
0xd94b47bd…	$-34.6k	$122k	-28.3%
0xc4435df2…	$-33.1k	$100k	-33.1%
0xc586d15b…	$-29.8k	$77.2k	-38.6%
0x66b906b8…	$-28.3k	$89.1k	-31.8%
0xe3afb091…	$-28.3k	$64.2k	-44.1%
0x64396449…	$-27.7k	$91.6k	-30.3%
0x2053d851…	$27k	$585	4623.8%
0x68e3c4e0…	$-26.1k	$106k	-24.7%
0xf05b4b55…	$-25.6k	$59k	-43.3%
0x01dffa7a…	$-23.8k	$76.8k	-31.0%
0x836b850f…	$-23.1k	$65.5k	-35.3%

0x16cb…2704

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x16cb…2704

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

Hour of day (UTC)

Day of week (UTC)

Fills per week