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0x1681…b1c7
0x1681006e2a5c3ca35767f215947326591180b1c7
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 5.65 and disposition ratio 0.28, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 118.4), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 08:13:47 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$35.6k
Open PnL
$-198k
Max drawdown
$88.9k
Underwater days
161
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $48.8k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $2.82k | $11.1k | $127k | $209k |
| Win rate | 67% | 83% | 74% | 73% |
| ROI | 24% | 14% | 18% | 19% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.304 | -0.035 | 0.023 |
| Markets | 2 | 8 | 59 | 164 |
| Best day | $-73 | $2.47k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 1.82 | 4.25 | 4.29 | 4.34 |
| Mean trade PnL | $939 | $1.86k | $2.89k | $1.67k |
| Median trade PnL | $2.85k | $2.29k | $1.4k | $326 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.91 | 0.85 | 1.47 | 1.61 |
| Largest win | $3.4k | $4.96k | $32.1k | $32.1k |
| Largest loss | $-3.43k | $-3.43k | $-11.5k | $-11.5k |
| Expectancy | $939 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $6.99k | $15.7k | $5.8k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.168 | -0.026 | 0.021 |
| Calmar | 0.401 | 0.401 | 0.401 | 0.401 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 29.3 | 29.3 | 29.3 | 29.3 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 35% | 28% | 16% | 10% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 91% | 47% | 30% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 64% | 43% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 2 | 151 | 2606 | 5197 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 8 | 59 | 164 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 71% | 83% | 46% |
| Avg entry price | 0.697 | 0.250 | 0.175 | 0.159 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.511 | 0.255 | 0.047 | 0.024 |
| Maker share (notional) | 58% | 94% | 73% | 59% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 10.6 | 8.4 | 85.0 | 90.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | 10.6 | 9.1 | 6.5 | 45.7 |
| Max concurrent | 2 | 4 | 35 | 97 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.69 | 0.01 | 0.28 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 99% | 80% | 81% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 0% | 20% | 19% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 33% | 57% | 54% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1686 | 0.1636 | 0.0609 | 0.1003 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1930 | 0.1837 | 0.1086 | 0.1786 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.932 | 0.984 | 0.953 | 0.815 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $-696 | $-366 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | 9.5% | -1.4% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1232 | 0.1232 | 0.1232 | 0.1232 |
| Alpha ($) | $-3.65k | $-3.65k | $-3.65k | $-3.65k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -101.6% | -101.6% | -101.6% | -101.6% |
| Contrarian score | -0.057 | -0.057 | -0.057 | -0.057 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0248 | 0.0248 | 0.0248 | 0.0248 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
- Scalper: 45.7%
- News Sniper: 44.3%
- Conviction Holder: 33.6%
- Favorite Grinder: 27.7%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 4.53e-6; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0xd23b4810d9… entry 0.135
- 0x26954c84be… entry 0.210
- 0xeda55c7409… entry 0.280 timing 1.00
- 0xfc6260666d… entry 0.173 timing 0.94
- 0xd393f0a6f8… entry 0.106 timing 0.10
- 0x716b138433… entry 0.249 timing 0.93