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0x1638095947833f43a732e0da2ca9c3548887339b
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 7.72 and disposition ratio 3.45, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 1006.9), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 08:43:10 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $525k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | $530k |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | N/A | 47% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.044 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 432 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.24 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $966 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-7 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.38 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | N/A | $237k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-168k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | N/A | $20.1k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.035 |
| Calmar | 1.941 | 1.941 | 1.941 | 1.941 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 547.3 | 547.3 | 547.3 | 547.3 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 18% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 29% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 11 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 22 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41180 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 432 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 70% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.283 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.017 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 72% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 851.8 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 182.2 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 192 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3.45 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 76% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 21% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 40% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.1860 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.1674 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.528 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $559 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5.2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1667 | -0.1667 | -0.1667 | -0.1667 |
| Alpha ($) | $-1.38k | $-1.38k | $-1.38k | $-1.38k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -25.3% | -25.3% | -25.3% | -25.3% |
| Contrarian score | 0.353 | 0.353 | 0.353 | 0.353 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0039 | -0.0039 | -0.0039 | -0.0039 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 6.16e-4; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $0 |
| $229k |
| Worst day | $0 | $0 | $0 | $-156k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| N/A |
| N/A |
| $966 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 7% |
| 8% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 41% | 20% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 51% | 37% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 76% | 29% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 97% | 6% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 22% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0.0156 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | N/A | 41180.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.16 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $178 |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $2 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | -221.16 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 7.72 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $636k | 50% | 421 |
| NFL | $-181k | 50% | 12 |
| Chess | $111k | 100% | 3 |
| World Elections | $-40.3k | 0% | 7 |
| UFC | $24k | 86% | 7 |
| NBA | $-20.4k | 13% | 30 |
| Lions | $15.4k | 67% | 3 |
| Soccer | $-13.4k | 16% | 25 |
| EPL | $-13k | 14% | 7 |
| Super Bowl LIX | $10.6k | 100% | 2 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | $10.1k | 100% | 2 |
| Bitcoin | $-3.78k | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x145ed5c1… | $237k | $176k | 134.2% |
| 0xbdb10ccc… | $-168k | $244k | -68.9% |
| 0x4467c216… | $143k | $171k | 84.0% |
| 0x4f61244a… | $122k | $56k | 218.1% |
| 0xce908f14… | $-116k | $116k | -100.0% |
| 0xf956e916… | $-113k | $113k | -100.0% |
| 0x989df6a3… | $109k | $64.3k | 169.1% |
| 0x2b1493a8… | $107k | $131k | 81.5% |
| 0xada51bc4… | $-95.1k | $112k | -84.8% |
| 0x1329a399… | $-93.8k | $100k | -93.6% |
| 0x405534c0… | $89.2k | $104k | 85.9% |
| 0x74b835cd… | $-85.6k | $85.7k | -100.0% |
| 0x795eab1e… | $80.4k | $32.5k | 247.1% |
| 0xcd14a0b8… | $78.5k | $144k | 54.5% |
| 0xaa2b61bb… | $76.9k | $9.51k | 809.1% |
| 1353 |
| 1353 |
| 1353 |
| 1353 |