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0x160d…6f25
0x160df84695ed42f620a1b2fa4cb69a5f69986f25
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 16299 with median hold 4.6 hours, maker share only 10%.
Capital velocity 2.0 and held-to-resolution 92% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:09:16 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$-80k
Open PnL
$870
Max drawdown
$123k
Underwater days
40
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.25k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $-43.1k | $6.69k | $-25.9k | $-25.9k |
| Win rate | 22% | 24% | 30% | 30% |
| ROI | -49% | 2% | -2% | -2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.087 | -0.092 | -0.067 |
| Markets | 22 | 76 | 1023 | 2727 |
| Best day | $521 | $36.8k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 0.28 | 1.03 | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-1.87k | $84 | $-40 | $-40 |
| Median trade PnL | $-726 | $-642 | $-83 | $-83 |
| Payoff ratio | 1.01 | 3.32 | 2.29 | 2.29 |
| Largest win | $9.41k | $81.7k | $81.7k | $81.7k |
| Largest loss | $-15.2k | $-17k | $-17k | $-17k |
| Expectancy | $-1.87k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $24.1k | $19.4k | $10.6k |
| Sortino (daily) | -0.067 | 0.087 | -0.097 | -0.067 |
| Calmar | -0.640 | -0.640 | -0.640 | -0.640 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 39.4 | 39.4 | 39.4 | 39.4 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 20% | 25% | 7% | 7% |
| Concentration top-5 | 68% | 59% | 22% | 22% |
| Concentration top-10 | 92% | 72% | 31% | 31% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 5 | 9 | 9 |
| Max loss streak | 12 | 14 | 16 | 16 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 714 | 1919 | 8921 | 16299 |
| Unique markets | 22 | 76 | 1023 | 2727 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | 0.119 | 0.142 | 0.298 | 0.320 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.122 | 0.054 | 0.008 | 0.005 |
| Maker share (notional) | 32% | 18% | 12% | 10% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 3.7 | 9.3 | 8.7 | 28.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | 3.2 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 4.6 |
| Max concurrent | 20 | 69 | 953 | 2460 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.51 | 1.33 | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| Add-to-winner share | 41% | 36% | 35% | 34% |
| Average-down share | 14% | 32% | 34% | 41% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.19 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 83% | 88% | 92% | 92% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0236 | 0.1761 | 0.0773 | 0.0773 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0569 | 0.0966 | 0.0763 | 0.0763 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.940 | 0.829 | 0.889 | 0.858 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-26 | $224 | $165 | $165 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 56.5% | 59.8% | 126.2% | 126.2% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0566 | 0.0566 | 0.0566 | 0.0566 |
| Alpha ($) | $2 | $2 | $2 | $2 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -2.0% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -2.0% |
| Contrarian score | 0.143 | 0.143 | 0.143 | 0.143 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0418 | 0.0418 | 0.0418 | 0.0418 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations | 7 |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 71.5%
- News Sniper: 52.9%
- Favorite Grinder: 45.0%
- Longshot Hunter: 37.8%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 35.0%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 1.30e-83; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0x187c0daf25… entry 0.059 timing 0.93
- 0x12e12585c2… entry 0.059
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- 0x1d6ecd46e3… entry 0.091 timing 0.85
- 0x086013bff1… entry 0.081 timing 0.96
- 0x160b7681f6… entry 0.059 timing 0.92
- 0xcf90f14efb… entry 0.059 timing 0.92
- 0x5e8c8025cb… entry 0.110 timing 0.63
- 0xf825831a88… entry 0.059 timing 0.94
- 0x8bc2b8b1d7… entry 0.059 timing 0.73
- 0x09f8d2f098… entry 0.060 timing 0.98
- 0x523e7e265f… entry 0.059 timing 0.88
- 0x1de763d30f… entry 0.059 timing 0.88
- 0x5b36501c34… entry 0.059