0x0e64bde21d716711fbe59095eb0c88fae55e336d
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 6276 with median hold 1.3 hours, maker share only 66%.
Capital velocity 1.1 and held-to-resolution 45% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 07:59:30 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $3.08k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $-15.5k | $-3.86k | $-2.25k | $-67.3k |
| Win rate | 35% | 53% | 54% | 52% |
| ROI | -33% | -3% | -0% | -4% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.012 | 0.072 | -0.123 |
| Markets | 40 | 151 | 539 | 789 |
| Best day | $638 | $10.9k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 0.43 | 0.93 | 0.99 | 0.91 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-272 | $-29 | $-4 | $-91 |
| Median trade PnL | $-213 | $11 | $82 | $28 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.80 | 0.81 | 0.83 | 0.85 |
| Largest win | $1.92k | $3.55k | $5.31k | $21.2k |
| Largest loss | $-3.65k | $-3.91k | $-8.85k | $-14.1k |
| Expectancy | $-272 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $8.19k | $5.97k | $10.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.010 | 0.065 | -0.099 |
| Calmar | -0.728 | -0.728 | -0.728 | -0.728 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 78.3 | 78.3 | 78.3 | 78.3 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | 31% | 17% | 6% | 5% |
| Concentration top-10 | 49% | 29% | 11% | 9% |
| Max win streak | 9 | 18 | 30 | 39 |
| Max loss streak | 18 | 18 | 38 | 38 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 99 | 521 | 2586 | 6276 |
| Unique markets | 40 | 151 | 539 | 789 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 99% |
| Avg entry price | 0.229 | 0.348 | 0.457 | 0.419 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.152 | 0.022 | 0.005 | 0.003 |
| Maker share (notional) | 20% | 45% | 50% | 66% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 3.2 | 10.2 | 9.8 | 9.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Max concurrent | 27 | 86 | 297 | 353 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.42 | 0.39 | 0.69 | 0.37 |
| Add-to-winner share | 25% | 25% | 19% | 20% |
| Average-down share | 75% | 44% | 63% | 58% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.96 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 56% | 59% | 57% | 45% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2336 | 0.2467 | 0.2216 | 0.2397 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2206 | 0.2192 | 0.2215 | 0.2295 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.402 | 0.510 | 0.511 | 0.522 |
| Exit quality ($) | $45 | $86 | $1 | $-6 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 4.6% | 3.0% | -1.9% | -1.5% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1579 | 0.1579 | 0.1579 | 0.1579 |
| Alpha ($) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Contrarian score | 0.298 | 0.298 | 0.298 | 0.298 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.1042 | 0.1042 | 0.1042 | 0.1042 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Post-fill observations | 956 |
Joint probability 1.19e-4; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $11k |
| $21k |
| Worst day | $638 | $-13.1k | $-13.1k | $-61.8k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $-29 |
| $-4 |
| $-91 |
| <0.10 |
| 0% |
| 33% |
| 22% |
| 20% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 25% | 33% | 34% | 35% | 12% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 30% | 49% | 52% | 50% | 70% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 70% | 81% | 73% | 71% | 18% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| 1% |
| 2% |
| 1% |
| Spread capture | N/A | 0.0050 | 0.0136 | 0.0125 |
| Inventory turnover | 99.00 | 521.00 | 2586.00 | 6276.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.89 | 1.17 | 1.15 | 1.09 |
| Avg ticket | $424 | $293 | $264 | $265 |
| Median ticket | $86 | $30 | $25 | $15 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -100.60 | -22.59 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.30 |
| 1.35 |
| 2.23 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $-78.5k | 49% | 547 |
| Tennis | $16k | 60% | 94 |
| uncategorized | $-5.9k | 0% | 1 |
| primary elections | $-1.82k | 20% | 5 |
| UK | $1.81k | 100% | 2 |
| Iran | $-1.74k | 82% | 11 |
| Politics | $1.65k | 50% | 4 |
| Economy | $-1.18k | 0% | 1 |
| Middle East | $1.17k | 100% | 2 |
| Soccer | $-1.13k | 50% | 8 |
| Oil | $735 | 67% | 3 |
| Esports | $589 | 61% | 44 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdaf176c7… | $21.2k | $8.8k | 240.9% |
| 0x5cc63cdd… | $-14.1k | $14.1k | -100.0% |
| 0x602ff7cc… | $13.5k | $6.5k | 207.7% |
| 0x53a0d398… | $-13.3k | $13.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x2464bc38… | $11.6k | $8.4k | 138.1% |
| 0x215be7e1… | $-11.3k | $11.3k | -100.0% |
| 0xe4094d8c… | $11.2k | $8.8k | 127.3% |
| 0x5159f1ae… | $-10.8k | $10.8k | -100.0% |
| 0x37d5884b… | $-10.2k | $10.2k | -100.0% |
| 0xc272bccb… | $-9.7k | $9.7k | -100.0% |
| 0x7a6bd71b… | $-9.5k | $9.5k | -100.0% |
| 0x368c99a2… | $9.3k | $10.7k | 86.9% |
| 0x63664ab9… | $9.2k | $10.8k | 85.2% |
| 0xe553dabe… | $9.1k | $5.9k | 154.2% |
| 0xe8791038… | $-8.85k | $8.85k | -100.0% |
| 956 |
| 956 |
| 956 |