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P Prediction Market News
Cross-venue Polymarket and Kalshi odds, consensus prices, volume, open interest, spread, and resolution rules. Not investment advice.
0x0c7c…e4cb · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News
Traders / 0x0c7c…e4cb 0x0c7c…e4cb 0x0c7c5204404e9d5402d258fedac59c7212bae4cb
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 64382 with median hold 0.1 hours, maker share only 4%.
Capital velocity 1.0 and held-to-resolution 97% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 08:59:48 UTC
Window metrics Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time PnL (leaderboard) $1.32k N/A N/A N/A Realized PnL $9.59k $49.7k $52.4k $52.4k Win rate 59% 58% 57% 57% ROI 16% 18% 17% 17% Sharpe (daily) N/A 0.690 0.861 0.472 Markets 1372 6240 6240 6240 Best day $1.54k $5.64k
Performance Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Profit factor 1.54 1.62 1.57 1.57 Mean trade PnL $6 $6 $5 $5 Median trade PnL $2 $1 $1 $1 Payoff ratio 1.08 1.19 1.17 1.17 Largest win $639 $639 $639 $639 Largest loss $-307 $-330 $-748 $-748 Expectancy $6
Risk Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time PnL volatility N/A $2.7k $1.66k $1.49k Sortino (daily) N/A N/A 0.918 0.515 Calmar 25.776 25.776 25.776 25.776 Drawdown duration (days) 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0
Consistency Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Concentration top-1 2% 0% 0% 0% Concentration top-5 5% 2% 1% 1% Concentration top-10 9% 3% 3% 3% Max win streak 9 12 12 12 Max loss streak 3 5 8 8
Odds bucket 24h win rate 7d win rate 30d win rate All-time win rate Notional (all)
Activity Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Trade count 15173 64382 64382 64382 Unique markets 1372 6240 6240 6240 Active days ratio 200% 120% 120% 120% Avg entry price 0.426 0.407 0.407 0.407 Portfolio HHI 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 Maker share (notional) 0% 4% 4% 4% Two-sided share N/A
Behavior Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Holding time avg (h) 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Holding time median (h) 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Max concurrent 1372 6044 6044 6044 Disposition ratio 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.87 Add-to-winner share 57% 54% 54% 54% Average-down share 41% 44% 44% 44% Tilt ratio 0.90
Markets / calibration Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Held to resolution 100% 97% 97% 97% Brier (weighted) 0.1672 0.1630 0.1641 0.1641 Brier (unweighted) 0.1636 0.1632 0.1625 0.1625 Entry timing mean 0.998 0.998 0.998 0.998 Exit quality ($) $-0 $-0 $-0 $-0 Exit quality ROI gap -0.2% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5%
Style Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time CLV mean -0.0918 -0.0918 -0.0918 -0.0918 Alpha ($) $-46 $-46 $-46 $-46 Alpha ROI gap -52.1% -52.1% -52.1% -52.1% Contrarian score 0.088 0.088 0.088 0.088 Post-fill drift N/A N/A N/A N/A Post-fill candles (mean) N/A N/A N/A N/A Post-fill observations N/A
Archetype scores Scalper: 73.9% News Sniper: 58.9% Early-Bird Forecaster: 35.0% Conviction Holder: 33.6% Contrarian Fader: 27.8% Worst day $1.54k $-2.99k $-2.99k $-3.81k
Spread capture N/A N/A N/A N/A
Inventory turnover 15173.00 64382.00 64382.00 64382.00
Capital velocity 1.36 1.15 1.03 1.03
Activity slope (fills/week) N/A N/A N/A N/A
Category PnL (all) Win rate n
Up or Down $52.5k 57% 9974 uncategorized $-1 50% 2
Market (condition) PnL Cost ROI 0x41e28319… $-748 $748 -100.0% 0xee84ecd9… $-700 $700 -100.0% 0xd4234bfe… $-616 $636 -96.9% 0xed862d74… $592 $309 191.8% 0x4ca4a7b7… $-568 $675 -84.2% 0x503e8d96… $545 $138 394.3% 0x6eb00fc0… $526 $569 92.5% 0x5f3c4e10… $523 $287 182.3% 0x8d70e08c… $-517 $535 -96.6% 0xf56140ee… $513 $412 124.5% 0x4e3f68e0… $-494 $557 -88.8% 0x4eaf8d0b… $472 $35 1362.7% 0x30730cf7… $472 $280 168.5% 0xf3017fa1… $456 $314 145.4% 0xca9a324f… $415 $680 60.9%
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