Loading trader…
0x0af0…d425
0x0af037c59ede5b3b2a6625f23923057d8296d425
Favorite GrinderGrade CTilt warningarchetypes-v1
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
85% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (88%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (1.65).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 07:53:49 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$268k
Open PnL
$-3.34k
Max drawdown
$28.7k
Underwater days
45
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $209k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $208k | $271k |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | 100% | 88% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | 44% | 7% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.038 | 0.227 | 0.132 |
| Markets | 0 | 3 | 5 | 28 |
| Best day | $384 | $4.01k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | ∞ | 11.56 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $104k | $11.3k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $104k | $1.9k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.65 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | $208k | $208k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-14.8k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $3.92k | $30.7k | $14.5k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.546 | 0.019 | 1.538 | 0.546 |
| Calmar | 9.336 | 9.336 | 9.336 | 9.336 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 46.0 | 46.0 | 46.0 | 46.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 64% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 86% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 94% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | 2 | 13 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 4 | 589 | 1727 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 3 | 5 | 28 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | 100% | 63% | 34% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.956 | 0.713 | 0.917 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | 0.774 | 0.785 | 0.102 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | 0% | 53% | 40% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | 14.2 | 160.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | 7.3 | 8.3 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 3 | 5 | 24 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.14 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 100% | 82% | 77% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 0% | 18% | 21% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | 100% | 78% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.1049 | 0.0747 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0560 | 0.1305 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.382 | 0.930 | 0.814 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | $-9.47k | $10.5k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | -2.0% | 14.2% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0054 | -0.0054 | -0.0054 | -0.0054 |
| Alpha ($) | $-378k | $-378k | $-378k | $-378k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -141.3% | -141.3% | -141.3% | -141.3% |
| Contrarian score | -0.173 | -0.173 | -0.173 | -0.173 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0137 | -0.0137 | -0.0137 | -0.0137 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 76.5%
- Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
- News Sniper: 51.2%
- Scalper: 47.7%
- Conviction Holder: 39.2%