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0x08b2bfd12a2130d705137660df1f6e3765de257b
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 1 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.96 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 1.0 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 07:49:20 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.3k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $1.51k | $17.2k | $17.2k | $17.2k |
| Win rate | 50% | 57% | 56% | 56% |
| ROI | 391% | 352% | 321% | 321% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.446 | 0.259 | 0.259 |
| Markets | 4 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| Best day | $976 | $16k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 31.24 | 54.21 | 37.82 | 37.82 |
| Mean trade PnL | $378 | $2.46k | $1.91k | $1.91k |
| Median trade PnL | $306 | $621 | $91 | $91 |
| Payoff ratio | 31.24 | 40.65 | 30.26 | 30.26 |
| Largest win | $941 | $12.6k | $12.6k | $12.6k |
| Largest loss | $-40 | $-273 | $-273 | $-273 |
| Expectancy | $378 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $5.91k | $3.56k | $3.56k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Calmar | 461.678 | 461.678 | 461.678 | 461.678 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 58% | 71% | 70% | 70% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 100% | 98% | 98% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 17 | 24 | 32 | 32 |
| Unique markets | 4 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 25% | 25% |
| Avg entry price | 0.487 | 0.381 | 0.372 | 0.372 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.881 | 0.400 | 0.383 | 0.383 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.4 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Max concurrent | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Disposition ratio | 2.23 | 2.79 | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| Add-to-winner share | 0% | 25% | 17% | 17% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% |
| Tilt ratio | 2.21 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 33% | 25% | 33% | 33% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.4198 | 0.6944 | 0.6558 | 0.6558 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.3801 | 0.3910 | 0.3706 | 0.3706 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.997 | 0.988 | 0.958 | 0.958 |
| Exit quality ($) | $17 | $-271 | $-344 | $-344 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -363.2% | -282.4% | -207.8% | -207.8% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1432 | 0.1432 | 0.1432 | 0.1432 |
| Alpha ($) | $-86 | $-86 | $-86 | $-86 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -60.1% | -60.1% | -60.1% | -60.1% |
| Contrarian score | 0.345 | 0.345 | 0.345 | 0.345 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.1867 | 0.1867 | 0.1867 | 0.1867 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $16k |
| $16k |
| Worst day | $976 | $-40 | $-40 | $-40 |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $2.46k |
| $1.91k |
| $1.91k |
| <0.10 |
| 33% |
| 40% |
| 40% |
| 40% |
| 32% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 68% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 17.00 | 24.00 | 32.00 | 32.00 |
| Capital velocity | 94.57 | 12.55 | 11.73 | 11.73 |
| Avg ticket | $2.15k | $2.56k | $1.96k | $1.96k |
| Median ticket | $24 | $131 | $129 | $129 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 1.32 |
| 1.33 |
| 1.33 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | $17.2k | 63% | 8 |
| Esports | $-40 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xadf4acda… | $12.6k | $1.44k | 876.4% |
| 0x0c4cd205… | $3.32k | $2.95k | 112.6% |
| 0xc41f543c… | $941 | $130 | 723.7% |
| 0xaf767784… | $621 | $207 | 300.0% |
| 0x085e6d64… | $-273 | $116 | -235.5% |
| 0xf95968b1… | $-142 | $419 | -34.0% |
| 0x579d7da9… | $91 | $39 | 233.0% |
| 0x11f0b65e… | $-40 | $40 | -100.0% |
| 0x4822d145… | $-10 | $10 | -100.0% |
| 12 |
| 12 |
| 12 |
| 12 |