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0x06dc…4524 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0x06dc…4524
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524
This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.
Maker share of notional is 91% and two-sided activity is 56%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.
Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 65634.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.
Little of its inventory is held to resolution (14%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.
Updated 2026-07-19 08:02:15 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.41k | $35.5k | $46.3k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $1.14k | $60k | $-241k | $-77.3k |
| Win rate | 50% | 69% | 69% | 69% |
| ROI | 1% | 2% | -1% | -0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.343 | -0.105 | 0.114 |
| Markets | 88 | 571 | 1731 | 1731 |
| Best day | $1.95k | $24.7k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 1.11 | 1.17 | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| Mean trade PnL | $54 | $73 | $-58 | $-8 |
| Median trade PnL | $0 | $3 | $3 | $3 |
| Payoff ratio | 1.11 | 0.53 | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| Largest win | $5.6k | $17.7k | $118k | $118k |
| Largest loss | $-8.54k | $-22.4k | $-197k | $-197k |
| Expectancy | $54 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $14.5k | $32.8k | $29.9k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.075 | 0.261 | -0.066 | 0.075 |
| Calmar | 1.382 | 1.382 | 1.382 | 1.382 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 25.3 | 25.3 | 25.3 | 25.3 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 67% | 4% | 5% | 3% |
| Concentration top-5 | 96% | 17% | 12% | 7% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 28% | 18% | 10% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 16 | 30 | 30 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 929 | 17153 | 65634 | 65634 |
| Unique markets | 88 | 571 | 1731 | 1731 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 100% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | 0.605 | 0.563 | 0.577 | 0.577 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.049 | 0.010 | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Maker share (notional) | 77% | 72% | 91% | 91% |
| Two-sided share | 30% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 3.5 | 8.3 | 9.1 | 9.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | 2.9 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| Max concurrent | 36 | 365 | 413 | 413 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.27 | 1.23 | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Add-to-winner share | 76% | 57% | 52% | 52% |
| Average-down share | 23% | 39% | 42% | 42% |
| Tilt ratio | 3.63 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 12% | 53% | 14% | 14% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1250 | 0.0842 | 0.0737 | 0.0801 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0887 | 0.0795 | 0.0771 | 0.0866 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.596 | 0.670 | 0.713 | 0.713 |
| Exit quality ($) | $1.09k | $44 | $-50 | $-62 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 34.6% | 1118.5% | 836.0% | 599.4% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1284 | 0.1284 | 0.1284 | 0.1284 |
| Alpha ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alpha ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Contrarian score | 0.073 | 0.073 | 0.073 | 0.073 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0195 | 0.0195 | 0.0195 | 0.0195 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
| Post-fill observations | 1343 |
| Worst day | $1.95k | $-17.7k | $-112k | $-161k |
| Spread capture | -0.0023 | -0.0244 | -0.0301 | -0.0301 |
| Inventory turnover | 929.00 | 17153.00 | 65634.00 | 65634.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.82 | 1.04 | 0.54 | 0.26 |
| Avg ticket | $199 | $152 | $152 | $152 |
| Median ticket | $17 | $11 | $12 | $12 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -9203.50 | -9203.50 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Bitcoin | $-247k | 64% | 1512 |
| Ethereum | $136k | 68% | 2577 |
| Crypto | $-71.6k | 64% | 2442 |
| Solana | $61.2k | 78% | 1614 |
| XRP | $52.3k | 73% | 1822 |
| uncategorized | $-8.62k | 67% | 3 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x6992fdf3… | $-78.9k | $873k | -9.0% |
| 0xc7f2cf2c… | $66.8k | $234k | 28.5% |
| 0xa9a77cb0… | $34k | $109k | 31.3% |
| 0x2e539df5… | $-33.9k | $74.9k | -45.3% |
| 0xc49b6d0a… | $-33k | $78.4k | -42.0% |
| 0xbf482a36… | $-31.3k | $77k | -40.6% |
| 0x9c3b035b… | $25.5k | $9.24k | 275.7% |
| 0xa5c42274… | $-22.4k | $66.2k | -33.9% |
| 0xe391295f… | $22.1k | $227k | 9.7% |
| 0x237f3ae1… | $-21k | $43.8k | -47.9% |
| 0xa5f71386… | $-20.3k | $56.9k | -35.7% |
| 0x2d776edc… | $-20.1k | $110k | -18.3% |
| 0xc791b09a… | $19.7k | $128k | 15.4% |
| 0x7cd8c41a… | $-18.7k | $42.8k | -43.6% |
| 0x614732ba… | $-18.2k | $149k | -12.2% |