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0x037c…a458 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0x037c…a458
0x037c0f46600702e77ccb738721a78d6418d3a458
This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.
Maker share of notional is 91% and two-sided activity is 50%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.
Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 12685.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.
Little of its inventory is held to resolution (7%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.
Updated 2026-07-19 08:36:39 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.01k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $2.2k | $2.77k | $2.81k | $3.37k |
| Win rate | 38% | 37% | 46% | 47% |
| ROI | 17% | 15% | 0% | 0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.711 | 0.168 | 0.298 |
| Markets | 189 | 1069 | 1232 | 1232 |
| Best day | $1.36k | $1.36k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 1.32 | 1.28 | 1.02 | 1.01 |
| Mean trade PnL | $7 | $2 | $0 | $0 |
| Median trade PnL | $-6 | $-1 | $-2 | $-2 |
| Payoff ratio | 2.11 | 2.18 | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| Largest win | $502 | $502 | $1.51k | $1.51k |
| Largest loss | $-279 | $-279 | $-1.51k | $-1.51k |
| Expectancy | $7 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $602 | $547 | $354 |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.182 | 0.295 |
| Calmar | 4.221 | 4.221 | 4.221 | 4.221 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 16.3 | 16.3 | 16.3 | 16.3 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 17% | 12% | 4% | 3% |
| Concentration top-10 | 28% | 19% | 8% | 6% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Max loss streak | 17 | 55 | 55 | 55 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 3013 | 7073 | 12685 | 12685 |
| Unique markets | 189 | 1069 | 1232 | 1232 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 85% | 85% |
| Avg entry price | 0.546 | 0.556 | 0.670 | 0.670 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.013 | 0.007 | 0.008 | 0.008 |
| Maker share (notional) | 72% | 77% | 91% | 91% |
| Two-sided share | 60% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Max concurrent | 43 | 111 | 126 | 126 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.19 | 1.07 | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| Add-to-winner share | 54% | 46% | 47% | 47% |
| Average-down share | 35% | 34% | 34% | 34% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.92 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 15% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2169 | 0.2113 | 0.0395 | 0.0415 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1929 | 0.1847 | 0.0849 | 0.0799 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.998 | 0.998 | 0.998 | 0.998 |
| Exit quality ($) | $0 | $0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.0% | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1970 | -0.1970 | -0.1970 | -0.1970 |
| Alpha ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alpha ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Contrarian score | -0.013 | -0.013 | -0.013 | -0.013 |
| Post-fill drift | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Post-fill observations | N/A |
| Worst day | $1.36k | $3 | $-1.15k | $-1.15k |
| Spread capture | -0.1439 | -0.1609 | -0.1385 | -0.1385 |
| Inventory turnover | 3013.00 | 7073.00 | 12685.00 | 12685.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.02 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 267.00 | 267.00 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Up or Down | $3.39k | 47% | 9993 |
| uncategorized | $-16 | 50% | 6 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0xd3b28819… | $924 | $203 | 455.8% |
| 0xe5dc1383… | $598 | $957 | 62.5% |
| 0xb74b5e2a… | $441 | $4 | 9900.0% |
| 0xdc825142… | $363 | $137 | 264.7% |
| 0x9e0affad… | $340 | $715 | 47.6% |
| 0xa29f6874… | $319 | $12 | 2675.6% |
| 0x9d04d1cd… | $317 | $523 | 60.7% |
| 0x0be8ea67… | $317 | $631 | 50.1% |
| 0xe6461b7b… | $314 | $80 | 391.1% |
| 0x6106782b… | $286 | $94 | 306.0% |
| 0xa5b5dd52… | $285 | $170 | 167.1% |
| 0x37a52dc7… | $260 | $80 | 323.5% |
| 0xe7e585a2… | $257 | $598 | 42.9% |
| 0xb1aa3270… | $229 | $139 | 164.5% |
| 0x4c686133… | $219 | $736 | 29.7% |