Loading trader…
0x02d5…88c7
0x02d5f92b780ec7c98d7ad0624ff017f7ae4688c7
Early-Bird ForecasterGrade Darchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.
Mean entry timing is early (0.18 of market life) and 79% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.
Turnover stays low (1149.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 07:46:25 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$895k
Open PnL
$0
Max drawdown
$0
Underwater days
0
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $895k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | $895k |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | N/A | 54% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 23% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.086 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.53 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $37.3k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $1.99k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.29 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | N/A | $753k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-424k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | N/A | $27.9k |
| Sortino (daily) | ∞ | ∞ | ∞ | ∞ |
| Calmar | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 18% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 60% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 87% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 6 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1149 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 133% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.471 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.087 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4.2 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4.8 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 19 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.07 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 73% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 16% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 79% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.2716 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.2368 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.179 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-145 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0.0% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0298 | -0.0298 | -0.0298 | -0.0298 |
| Alpha ($) | $-4.62k | $-4.62k | $-4.62k | $-4.62k |
| Alpha ROI gap | 94.7% | 94.7% | 94.7% | 94.7% |
| Contrarian score | 0.185 | 0.185 | 0.185 | 0.185 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0127 | 0.0127 | 0.0127 | 0.0127 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 69.9%
- Scalper: 61.2%
- Conviction Holder: 37.7%
- Tilted Gambler: 30.7%
- News Sniper: 21.1%