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0x0154…15a8 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0x0154…15a8
0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b8966115a8
This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.
Maker share of notional is 90% and two-sided activity is 73%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.
Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 65065.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.
Little of its inventory is held to resolution (18%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.
Updated 2026-07-19 07:53:21 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $455k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | $-27.4k |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | N/A | 64% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.128 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 379 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.99 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-17 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $28 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.57 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | N/A | $232k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-308k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | N/A | $17k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.040 |
| Calmar | 3.019 | 3.019 | 3.019 | 3.019 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 169.3 | 169.3 | 169.3 | 169.3 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 17% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 24% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 15 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 11 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65065 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 379 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 88% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.475 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.016 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 90% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.5 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 103 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.88 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 78% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 21% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 18% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0729 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0578 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.808 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-1.25k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1383.6% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0323 | -0.0323 | -0.0323 | -0.0323 |
| Alpha ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alpha ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Contrarian score | -0.216 | -0.216 | -0.216 | -0.216 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0413 | 0.0413 | 0.0413 | 0.0413 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Post-fill observations | 5801 |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0282 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | N/A | 65065.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.48 |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $16 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | -17625.50 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Bitcoin | $-177k | 65% | 1391 |
| Crypto | $130k | 54% | 217 |
| XRP | $19.3k | 100% | 2 |
| Up or Down | $218 | 71% | 7 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x542fb07f… | $-308k | $759k | -40.6% |
| 0xa7794cc1… | $-82.3k | $176k | -46.9% |
| 0x62f01109… | $-71.6k | $1.82M | -3.9% |
| 0x17a2466c… | $-53.8k | $936k | -5.7% |
| 0x1f91cc00… | $-46.1k | $102k | -45.2% |
| 0x0d885a54… | $34.2k | $108k | 31.8% |
| 0x2562563c… | $27.2k | $248k | 11.0% |
| 0x30daf91e… | $-23.9k | $52.3k | -45.7% |
| 0x18d518a1… | $-20.1k | $529k | -3.8% |
| 0x347e245f… | $19.3k | $1.1k | 1756.4% |
| 0x3ca92a25… | $-18.4k | $121k | -15.2% |
| 0x8e471f23… | $18.3k | $77.3k | 23.6% |
| 0x54a6afae… | $18.2k | $20.6k | 88.6% |
| 0x89724505… | $17.6k | $38.9k | 45.2% |
| 0x2732c088… | $-16.7k | $194k | -8.6% |