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Sports · Multi-outcome
Consensus is open-interest weighted across venues with eligible prices.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Consensus | Venue spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 58.1% | 58.1% | 58.1% | 0% |
| Argentina | 41.7% | 42.5% | 42.2% | 0.8% |
Combined open interest
$69.1M
Polymarket locked USDC plus Kalshi max-payout notional.
Polymarket OI
$30.2M
Locked USDC reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi OI
$38.9M
Contracts multiplied by max-payout notional.
Polymarket volume
$4.28B
Price-weighted traded USD.
Kalshi volume
$29.5M
Kalshi-reported contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Combined volume
$4.31B
Polymarket traded USD plus Kalshi $1 face-value contract volume.
Combined 24h volume
N/A
Kalshi 24h volume was not captured in this frozen snapshot.
Polymarket 24h
$23.8M
Price-weighted traded USD reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi 24h
N/A
Kalshi-reported 24h contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Polymarket resolution
Open venueThis market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kalshi resolution
Open venueIf Argentina wins the 2026 Men's World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.