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Politics · Multi-outcome
Consensus is open-interest weighted across venues with eligible prices.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Consensus | Venue spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President | 50.5% | - | 50.5% | - |
| China invades Taiwan | 50.5% | - | 50.5% | - |
| New Rihanna Album | 50.5% | - | 50.5% | - |
| Another Pandemic | 50.5% | - | 50.5% | - |
| GPT-6 released | 50.5% | - |
| 50.5% |
| - |
| New Playboi Carti Album | 50.5% | - | 50.5% | - |
| Bitcoin hits $1m | 49.7% | - | 49.7% | - |
| Jesus Christ returns | 49.5% | - | 49.5% | - |
Combined open interest
$357k
Polymarket locked USDC plus Kalshi max-payout notional.
Polymarket OI
$357k
Locked USDC reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi OI
N/A
Contracts multiplied by max-payout notional.
Polymarket volume
$23.3M
Price-weighted traded USD.
Kalshi volume
N/A
Kalshi-reported contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Combined volume
$23.3M
Polymarket traded USD plus Kalshi $1 face-value contract volume.
Combined 24h volume
$11.1k
Polymarket 24h traded USD plus Kalshi $1 face-value contract volume.
Polymarket 24h
$11.1k
Price-weighted traded USD reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi 24h
N/A
Kalshi-reported 24h contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Polymarket resolution
Open venueRules unavailable in snapshot.
Kalshi resolution
Rules unavailable in snapshot.
New Rihanna Album
$859k Vol.