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Geopolitics · Multi-outcome
Consensus is open-interest weighted across venues with eligible prices.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Consensus | Venue spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 31 | 44.5% | - | 44.5% | - |
| July 31 | 27.5% | - | 27.5% | - |
Combined open interest
$97.8k
Polymarket locked USDC plus Kalshi max-payout notional.
Polymarket OI
$97.8k
Locked USDC reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi OI
N/A
Contracts multiplied by max-payout notional.
Polymarket volume
$4.07M
Price-weighted traded USD.
Kalshi volume
N/A
Kalshi-reported contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Combined volume
$4.07M
Polymarket traded USD plus Kalshi $1 face-value contract volume.
Combined 24h volume
$180k
Polymarket 24h traded USD plus Kalshi $1 face-value contract volume.
Polymarket 24h
$180k
Price-weighted traded USD reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi 24h
N/A
Kalshi-reported 24h contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Polymarket resolution
Open venueRules unavailable in snapshot.
Kalshi resolution
Rules unavailable in snapshot.