Elections · Multi-outcome
Consensus is open-interest weighted across venues with eligible prices.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Consensus | Venue spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed | - | 67.5% | 67.5% | - |
| Haley Stevens | - | 32.5% | 32.5% | - |
| Rashida Tlaib | - | 0.1% | 0.1% | - |
| Matt Sahr | - | 0.1% | 0.1% | - |
| Kristen McDonald Rivet | - | 0.1% |
| 0.1% |
| - |
| Dana Nessel | - | 0.1% | 0.1% | - |
| Andy Levin | - | 0.1% | 0.1% | - |
| Sarah Anthony | - | 0.1% | 0.1% | - |
| Mallory McMorrow | - | 0.1% | 0.1% | - |
Combined open interest
$452k
Polymarket locked USDC plus Kalshi max-payout notional.
Polymarket OI
N/A
Locked USDC reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi OI
$452k
Contracts multiplied by max-payout notional.
Polymarket volume
N/A
Price-weighted traded USD.
Kalshi volume
$824k
Kalshi-reported contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Combined volume
$824k
Polymarket traded USD plus Kalshi $1 face-value contract volume.
Combined 24h volume
$56k
Polymarket 24h traded USD plus Kalshi $1 face-value contract volume.
Polymarket 24h
N/A
Price-weighted traded USD reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi 24h
$56k
Kalshi-reported 24h contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Polymarket resolution
Rules unavailable in snapshot.
Kalshi resolution
Open venueIf Rashida Tlaib wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Michigan Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.